Panama

New Zealand or Draw — 62% confidence

New Zealand carry positive momentum into this friendly having remained unbeaten in their last two matches with a 3-0 win over China and a 2-2 draw with Palestine. In contrast, Panama are winless in their last five fixtures and have failed to record a single clean sheet across their eight matches in the record, making the away side well placed to avoid defeat.

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Panama have seen all five of their most recent matches stay under 2.5 total goals, scoring just two goals in that span during 1-1 draws with India and Bosnia and failing to score in defeats to Ghana, Croatia, and England. Although New Zealand scored five goals across their last two games, Panama setup in conservative defensive formations such as 5-4-1 which generally keeps match scoring limited.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Panama have seen all five of their most recent matches stay under 2.5 total goals, scoring just two goals in that span during 1-1 draws with India and Bosnia and failing to score in defeats to Ghana, Croatia, and England. Although New Zealand scored five goals across their last two games, Panama setup in conservative defensive formations such as 5-4-1 which generally keeps match scoring limited.

New Zealand carry positive momentum into this friendly having remained unbeaten in their last two matches with a 3-0 win over China and a 2-2 draw with Palestine. In contrast, Panama are winless in their last five fixtures and have failed to record a single clean sheet across their eight matches in the record, making the away side well placed to avoid defeat.

Panama have conceded at an average rate of 1.8 goals per match across their eight fixtures and have kept zero clean sheets in that span. Meanwhile, New Zealand have seen at least two goals scored in all four of their recent fixtures, including a 3-0 win against China, a 2-2 draw with Palestine, and high-scoring losses against Belgium and Egypt. While Panama's last five matches have stayed at two goals or fewer, preventing strong justification for a higher line of 2.5, both teams' defensive records strongly support the expectation of at least two total goals in the contest.