Plymouth

Plymouth’s higher league position, superior points total and a 7‑2 record in the last ten meetings give them a clear edge. Their recent three wins in five matches and a 2‑0 away win against Leyton Orient indicate good momentum. Stevenage’s home form is decent but they have scored fewer goals on average (1.3) than Plymouth (1.6). The combined scoring average of roughly 2.9 goals per game and a 60 % over‑2.5 rate in their head‑to‑head support backing Plymouth to avoid defeat (win or draw) while also expecting an over‑2.5 goal total.

Double Chance provides strong protection for a competitive cup tie. Plymouth remain undefeated on home soil against Coventry across three historical meetings (two wins and one draw), including a 3-1 win in their most recent meeting. Combined with reported injuries to Coventry's L. Woolfenden and H. Wright and Plymouth's 2-0 shutout of Exeter City in the cup, backing Plymouth to avoid defeat in 90 minutes is well supported.