Sumqayıt

Turan have been defensively resolute at home this season, collecting four points from two matches without conceding a goal. Sumqayit have struggled out of the gate, suffering defeats in both of their league games while conceding four times. Turan have also dominated this matchup recently, winning the last four head-to-head meetings. Backing Turan on the double chance accounts for both a home victory and a low-scoring draw.

Qarabag are clear favourites based on league position, a win in their opening match and a dominant head‑to‑head record (8 wins from 10). Sumqayıt have only one point‑less game and concede heavily at home. The combination of Qarabag’s stronger form and Sumqayıt’s defensive frailties makes an away win or draw the most supported outcome, though a draw remains possible given the occasional close encounters in recent meetings.