Eliteserien (Norway)

Bodo/Glimt hold an overwhelming advantage across league position, home form, and head-to-head history. The hosts have won ten of eleven home league matches, averaging 3.1 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. Valerenga have won only twice in eleven away league games, allowing 2.4 goals per contest. Furthermore, Bodo/Glimt have won eight of the last nine meetings against Valerenga, and the visitors enter without suspended defender H. Sjatil as well as injured players K. Finnsson and E. Rashani. With an average of 5.0 goals per game across their previous nine encounters, a high-scoring home victory is strongly favoured by the numbers.

Rosenborg are currently in fine form with four wins and one draw from their last five matches across all competitions. Ham-Kam have struggled for defensive stability throughout the season, conceding 48 goals in 23 matches for an average of 2.1 goals allowed per game. Backing Rosenborg to either win or draw covers the possibility of Ham-Kam mounting resistance on home turf where they have secured five wins this season, while reflecting the superior form and table standing of the visitors.

Goals have flowed regularly in matches involving these two teams this season. Ham-Kam home matches average 3.4 total goals, with the hosts conceding 1.9 per game at home and shipping 10 goals across their last five fixtures. Rosenborg have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, led by 14-goal forward Amin Chiakha. With the Eliteserien averaging 3.21 goals per game, conditions point towards at least three goals being scored.

Over 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Goals have flowed regularly in matches involving these two teams this season. Ham-Kam home matches average 3.4 total goals, with the hosts conceding 1.9 per game at home and shipping 10 goals across their last five fixtures. Rosenborg have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, led by 14-goal forward Amin Chiakha. With the Eliteserien averaging 3.21 goals per game, conditions point towards at least three goals being scored.

Rosenborg or Draw — 70% confidence

Rosenborg are currently in fine form with four wins and one draw from their last five matches across all competitions. Ham-Kam have struggled for defensive stability throughout the season, conceding 48 goals in 23 matches for an average of 2.1 goals allowed per game. Backing Rosenborg to either win or draw covers the possibility of Ham-Kam mounting resistance on home turf where they have secured five wins this season, while reflecting the superior form and table standing of the visitors.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Viking hold a flawless home record in the league with 11 wins from 11 fixtures, scoring 41 goals in that span. Tromso have won four of their 11 away games and conceded 21 goals on the road. While Viking carry multiple injuries and Tromso have held them to five draws across their previous ten meetings, backing the home side to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a capable top-four visitor.

High goal counts have defined matches involving these teams. Viking average 3.7 goals scored per home match, while Tromso concede 1.9 goals per away fixture and score 1.8 themselves. Head-to-head history reinforces this expectation, with the last ten meetings producing an average of 3.6 goals and 60 percent surpassing the 2.5 goal mark.

Viking or Draw — 78% confidence

Viking hold a flawless home record in the league with 11 wins from 11 fixtures, scoring 41 goals in that span. Tromso have won four of their 11 away games and conceded 21 goals on the road. While Viking carry multiple injuries and Tromso have held them to five draws across their previous ten meetings, backing the home side to avoid defeat provides strong coverage against a capable top-four visitor.

Over 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

High goal counts have defined matches involving these teams. Viking average 3.7 goals scored per home match, while Tromso concede 1.9 goals per away fixture and score 1.8 themselves. Head-to-head history reinforces this expectation, with the last ten meetings producing an average of 3.6 goals and 60 percent surpassing the 2.5 goal mark.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both teams found the net in eight of the previous ten encounters between Viking and Tromso, including a 4-4 draw in 2025. Despite their winning record at home, Viking have registered only 3 clean sheets in 11 home league games. Tromso have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches, making goals for both sides a probable scenario.

KFUM Oslo arrive with strong recent form, unbeaten in their last five matches with four victories and one draw. Kristiansund have struggled badly, losing four consecutive matches in the league while shipping an average of over three goals per game across that run. The head-to-head record further tilts toward the visitors, who won the reverse league fixture 2-1 in August and have lost only two of ten meetings against Kristiansund. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers both an away win and a stalemate on hostile turf.

Aalesund matches have been among the most open in the division, averaging nearly four total goals per game across 23 league rounds with 39 goals scored and 51 conceded. The visitors have managed only one clean sheet all season and none away from home, while failing to score in just two of their eleven away trips. Sarpsborg 08 have also shown defensive frailties, conceding 15 goals in 11 home fixtures and shipping three goals in two of their last three league outings. Furthermore, eight of the previous ten meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, including the six-goal thriller between them earlier this month.

Both teams display strong attacking numbers balanced by porous backlines. Lillestrom have scored 19 and conceded 17 in their 11 home league games, managing only two clean sheets while failing to score just twice. Brann have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded across 11 away matches, also keeping just two clean sheets and failing to score in only two road fixtures. With the league averaging 3.21 goals per match and the last eight head-to-head encounters producing an average of three goals per game, both attacks are well positioned to find the net.

Sandefjord have a clear points and goal‑difference edge and have beaten Start 3‑0 in the most recent head‑to‑head meeting. Start’s home record is weak and they have been unable to score against Sandefjord this season. While Sandefjord’s away win rate is modest, they are less likely to lose than Start, and a draw remains plausible given both teams’ inconsistent form. This justifies backing Sandefjord or a draw, with an estimated combined probability around 60‑65 %.

Molde have recorded eight wins and just three defeats across 12 home league matches, scoring 2.5 goals per match at home. While Fredrikstad earned victories in both 2025 meetings between these sides, their overall away record of seven losses from 12 trips and an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away fixture makes an outright away win improbable. Backing Molde to take at least a point respects Fredrikstad's competitive head-to-head record while reflecting Molde's commanding home statistics.

Tromso or Draw — 76% confidence

Tromso have suffered only one loss in 11 home league matches this season, securing seven wins and keeping seven clean sheets. In contrast, KFUM Oslo have been beaten six times in 10 away games and concede an average of 2.2 goals per game on their travels. While KFUM Oslo's recent run of four wins in five games demands respect, Tromso's consistent resilience on home turf gives them an excellent probability of avoiding defeat.

Under 2.5 Goals — 63% confidence

Head-to-head history heavily favours a low-scoring encounter, with 70 percent of their past 10 meetings staying under 2.5 goals at an average of 2.0 goals per match. Their reverse fixture earlier this season concluded in a scoreless 0-0 stalemate. Additionally, Tromso have conceded only nine goals across 11 home league games, holding opponents to an average of just 0.8 goals per match at Romssa Arena.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Head-to-head history heavily favours a low-scoring encounter, with 70 percent of their past 10 meetings staying under 2.5 goals at an average of 2.0 goals per match. Their reverse fixture earlier this season concluded in a scoreless 0-0 stalemate. Additionally, Tromso have conceded only nine goals across 11 home league games, holding opponents to an average of just 0.8 goals per match at Romssa Arena.

Tromso have suffered only one loss in 11 home league matches this season, securing seven wins and keeping seven clean sheets. In contrast, KFUM Oslo have been beaten six times in 10 away games and concede an average of 2.2 goals per game on their travels. While KFUM Oslo's recent run of four wins in five games demands respect, Tromso's consistent resilience on home turf gives them an excellent probability of avoiding defeat.

Lillestrom hold a nine-point advantage over Sandefjord in the standings and possess a strong away record with five wins in 11 road trips. They also prevailed 3-1 in the reverse league fixture earlier in the season. Sandefjord have won only three of their 11 home fixtures, drawing five, and are missing five players through suspension and injury. Combining Lillestrom to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes given Sandefjord's tendency to draw at home and Lillestrom's consistent away returns.

Both clubs have consistently featured in open, high-scoring matches. Each of Molde's last five fixtures across all competitions has generated at least three goals, including a 2-2 draw with Lillestrom and high-scoring victories over Ham-Kam and Trygg/Lade. Molde average 2.2 goals scored per home match, while Start have conceded 29 goals in 11 away fixtures, representing an average of 2.6 conceded per away outing. Start's recent games show a similar pattern, with their last five matches all producing over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, 71.4 percent of the past seven head-to-head encounters between these teams have cleared the 2.5 goal line, averaging 3.71 goals per game.

Every one of the last nine head-to-head fixtures between Valerenga and Brann has generated over 2.5 goals, producing an average of 4.22 goals per meeting. Valerenga have conceded 45 goals across 22 league matches this season, an average of over two goals per game, while managing only two clean sheets all campaign. Brann have been equally involved in high-scoring games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per away league fixture. With both defences regularly conceding and both attacks consistently finding the net, the data points towards another fixture clearing the 2.5-goal threshold.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have demonstrated solid resilience on home turf, suffering only three defeats in ten league games. They also hold a dominant head-to-head record over Rosenborg, winning five and drawing three of their last nine encounters, while never losing at home in that span. Rosenborg have lost six of their ten away matches this season and travel without top scorer Amin Chiakha and chief playmaker O. Selnaes due to suspensions, drastically reducing their attacking potency.

Viking present an overwhelming advantage across venue form, league standing, and head-to-head record. They have won 10 out of 10 home league matches this season, scoring at an average rate of 3.8 goals per game behind the creative output of Z. Tripic with 19 assists and P. Christiansen with 12 goals. Fredrikstad have lost six of their 11 away games, conceding 1.9 goals per match and failing to score on four trips. Coupled with Viking winning the last four direct meetings, the host victory represents the most probable outcome.

Both teams display clear attacking productivity alongside persistent defensive shortcomings. Aalesund have conceded 50 goals in 22 league games and have failed to keep a single clean sheet in 10 away matches. However, they have found the net in 20 of their 22 league fixtures, averaging 1.6 goals per game overall and 1.1 on the road. Kristiansund have also been vulnerable at the back, conceding 43 times in 22 games and allowing three or more goals in four of their last five matches. With top scorers L. Alvheim and M. Christensen both in contention and their previous league encounter finishing 1-1, conditions strongly favour each side getting on the scoresheet.

Bodo/Glimt hold an overwhelming statistical edge across the campaign, taking 53 points from 22 matches compared to Ham-Kam's 26, alongside a goal difference superior by 49 goals. The visitors have avoided defeat in nine of their 11 away league assignments, spearheaded by A. Helmersen's 12 goals and O. Didrik Blomberg's seven assists. Head-to-head records also reflect control, with Bodo/Glimt losing only once in their last 10 meetings with Ham-Kam.

Despite Bodo/Glimt's dominance, Ham-Kam have proven competent on home ground with five victories in 10 matches, and the visitors must contend with quick turnaround fatigue following their fixture against Borussia Dortmund. Additionally, Bodo/Glimt are missing several squad options to injury, including H. Evjen, A. Mikkelsen, and J. Kitolano. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers the credible threat of points being shared while acknowledging Bodo/Glimt's superior consistency.

KFUM Oslo or Draw — 68% confidence

KFUM Oslo come into this match in strong form having won three consecutive games in all competitions, including home form that features five wins and two draws from 11 matches. Valerenga have conceded 24 goals in 10 away league fixtures and have won only two games on the road all season. Backing KFUM to win or draw provides solid coverage against a Valerenga side that has struggled for defensive consistency away from home.

BTTS Yes — 64% confidence

Both sides possess profiles that suggest goals at both ends. Valerenga average 1.4 goals scored away while conceding 2.4 per game, keeping only two clean sheets across their 21 league fixtures this season. KFUM Oslo have scored in their last three outings and conceded 35 goals in 21 matches overall. The previous Eliteserien meeting between the two sides earlier this season finished in a 2-2 draw.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both sides possess profiles that suggest goals at both ends. Valerenga average 1.4 goals scored away while conceding 2.4 per game, keeping only two clean sheets across their 21 league fixtures this season. KFUM Oslo have scored in their last three outings and conceded 35 goals in 21 matches overall. The previous Eliteserien meeting between the two sides earlier this season finished in a 2-2 draw.

KFUM Oslo come into this match in strong form having won three consecutive games in all competitions, including home form that features five wins and two draws from 11 matches. Valerenga have conceded 24 goals in 10 away league fixtures and have won only two games on the road all season. Backing KFUM to win or draw provides solid coverage against a Valerenga side that has struggled for defensive consistency away from home.

Molde have produced an average of 3.9 total goals per away match in the league this season, scoring 20 and conceding 19 across 10 road games. They have failed to score only once away from home while keeping just a single clean sheet. Lillestrom have maintained an average of 3.2 total goals in their home matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15 across 10 outings. Additionally, seven of the last nine head-to-head encounters between these clubs have produced three or more goals, yielding an average of 3.0 goals per meeting. With Molde also missing several defensive players through injury, another productive contest is well supported by the numbers.

Aalesund have not failed to score in any of their 11 home league games this campaign, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match at home. However, their defense has conceded 26 goals in those same 11 games, keeping only a single clean sheet. Across 21 matches overall, Aalesund have allowed 46 goals, the third-worst defensive record in the division. Sarpsborg 08 FF concede an average of 1.5 goals per away game and have found the net in four consecutive matches across all competitions. Furthermore, historical encounters between these sides reinforce an open dynamic, with seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings finishing over 2.5 goals and averaging 3.1 goals per game.

Both teams have demonstrated persistent defensive frailties throughout the league season, each conceding 44 goals in 21 fixtures. Start concede an average of 2.1 goals per game overall, while Ham-Kam surrender 2.3 goals per game on their travels, having shipped 25 times in 11 away matches. Across all seven recorded head-to-head meetings between these sides, every single fixture produced three or more goals, yielding an overall average of 4.0 goals per contest. With Ham-Kam conceding nine goals in their last two away league games and Start having scored in four of their last five matches, conditions point toward another open encounter with multiple goals.

Tromso have dominated this matchup in recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five head-to-head games while keeping five consecutive clean sheets against Fredrikstad. Sitting third in the Eliteserien standings with 38 points, Tromso possess greater depth and attacking quality through H. Larsen and R. Jenssen. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad are hindered by defensive absences with I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes suspended and S. Kvile out injured. Although Tromso have been occasionally fragile on their travels, backing them to take at least a point covers both an away victory and a competitive draw.

Rosenborg (draw no bet) — 76% confidence

Rosenborg have built a sturdy home record with seven wins and two draws from 11 matches, outscoring opponents 27 to 13. Sandefjord have found points hard to come by on the road, suffering defeat in seven of their ten away fixtures. Backing Rosenborg with the safety net of a draw refund provides strong value, especially considering Rosenborg have never lost to Sandefjord in four home meetings in the available record.

Rosenborg Over 1.5 Goals — 73% confidence

Rosenborg average 2.5 goals scored per game at home, netting 27 goals in 11 matches and failing to score in only one home fixture this season. Key forward Amin Chiakha has registered 13 goals, ably supported by creator O. Selnaes who has eight assists. Meanwhile, Sandefjord concede 1.7 goals per game on their travels and have kept just a single clean sheet across ten away matches.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (draw no bet and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Rosenborg average 2.5 goals scored per game at home, netting 27 goals in 11 matches and failing to score in only one home fixture this season. Key forward Amin Chiakha has registered 13 goals, ably supported by creator O. Selnaes who has eight assists. Meanwhile, Sandefjord concede 1.7 goals per game on their travels and have kept just a single clean sheet across ten away matches.

Rosenborg have built a sturdy home record with seven wins and two draws from 11 matches, outscoring opponents 27 to 13. Sandefjord have found points hard to come by on the road, suffering defeat in seven of their ten away fixtures. Backing Rosenborg with the safety net of a draw refund provides strong value, especially considering Rosenborg have never lost to Sandefjord in four home meetings in the available record.