Fredrikstad

Molde have recorded eight wins and just three defeats across 12 home league matches, scoring 2.5 goals per match at home. While Fredrikstad earned victories in both 2025 meetings between these sides, their overall away record of seven losses from 12 trips and an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away fixture makes an outright away win improbable. Backing Molde to take at least a point respects Fredrikstad's competitive head-to-head record while reflecting Molde's commanding home statistics.

Viking present an overwhelming advantage across venue form, league standing, and head-to-head record. They have won 10 out of 10 home league matches this season, scoring at an average rate of 3.8 goals per game behind the creative output of Z. Tripic with 19 assists and P. Christiansen with 12 goals. Fredrikstad have lost six of their 11 away games, conceding 1.9 goals per match and failing to score on four trips. Coupled with Viking winning the last four direct meetings, the host victory represents the most probable outcome.

Tromso have dominated this matchup in recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five head-to-head games while keeping five consecutive clean sheets against Fredrikstad. Sitting third in the Eliteserien standings with 38 points, Tromso possess greater depth and attacking quality through H. Larsen and R. Jenssen. Meanwhile, Fredrikstad are hindered by defensive absences with I. Amundsen and F. Ghebreyohannes suspended and S. Kvile out injured. Although Tromso have been occasionally fragile on their travels, backing them to take at least a point covers both an away victory and a competitive draw.

Valerenga have conceded 42 goals in 20 league fixtures this season, managing just two clean sheets in total. At home, they average 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Fredrikstad have kept only one clean sheet in 10 away games while conceding 20 goals on their travels. With head-to-head fixtures between the sides seeing both teams score in 62.5 percent of their eight recorded meetings, both attacks are well positioned to register on the scoresheet.

Head-to-head meetings between these two clubs have historically leaned towards low totals, averaging 2.25 goals per game across their last eight matches with under 2.5 goals landing 62.5 percent of the time. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match in the league this season, and Fredrikstad have conceded only 10 goals across nine home matches, pointing towards a tightly contested game with limited goalscoring opportunities.

Fredrikstad have taken five wins and one draw from their nine home league fixtures, showing dependable form on their own ground where they concede only 1.1 goals per game. Sarpsborg 08 have struggled for consistency on the road, winning just two of ten away matches and losing five. With Fredrikstad in positive recent form winning four of their last five overall, backing them to avoid defeat offers strong coverage against a direct table rival.

Lillestrom or Fredrikstad — 78% confidence

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Lillestrom's home league fixtures average 3.13 total goals per game, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Fredrikstad have exhibited defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away league fixture (19 conceded in nine games). These metrics point to a high probability of at least three goals being scored.

Lillestrom have produced a decisive result in all eight of their home league fixtures this season (four wins, four losses, zero draws). Similarly, Fredrikstad have registered only one draw in nine away league matches (two wins, six losses). Combining both profiles, 16 of their 17 home/away league games have ended with a winner, making the double chance on either side a strongly supported angle.