BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Aker Stadion, Molde
Referee
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Form

Recent form

Molde
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference

Fredrikstad
44Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Molde or Draw

BetGenius backs Molde or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Molde enter this Eliteserien encounter sitting third in the table with 40 points from 23 matches, level with fourth-placed Tromso in the race for European qualification. Their home form at Aker Stadion has provided a solid foundation, producing eight victories from 12 outings with 30 goals scored, highlighted by a recent 6-1 triumph against Start and a 3-0 defeat of Kristiansund BK.

Fredrikstad travel sitting eighth in the standings on 29 points, holding a negative goal difference of minus eight. Their away form has been a recurring issue throughout the campaign, yielding seven defeats from 12 road trips while conceding 24 goals at a rate of 2.0 per game. Compounding their travel difficulties, defender D. Eid serves a suspension following accumulated yellow cards.

Head-to-head meetings show that Fredrikstad have troubled Molde in recent encounters, winning both league fixtures in 2025 by 2-1 in Molde and 4-2 at home. However, Molde's offensive potency, driven by E. Breivik with nine goals and nine assists alongside K. Lonebu with eight goals, makes them difficult to dislodge on home soil.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Molde have won eight of 12 home matches in Eliteserien, netting 30 goals and conceding 14.
  2. Fredrikstad have lost seven of 12 away games this season, allowing an average of two goals per road fixture.
  3. Fredrikstad won both meetings between the sides in 2025, recording a 2-1 victory at Molde and a 4-2 win at home.
  4. E. Breivik has contributed nine goals and nine assists for Molde across 23 appearances.
  5. Fredrikstad will be missing D. Eid through suspension, while Molde manage several injury concerns including E. Hestad and V. Hoff.
Availability

Team news

Molde

  • S. HansenInjury
  • E. HestadLeg Injury
  • V. HoffKnee Injury
  • M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
  • H. StenevikInjury
  • S. DiopInactive

Fredrikstad

  • S. KvileKnee Injury
  • J. NysveenInjury
  • D. EidYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Molde at homeFredrikstad away
12
Played
12
8-1-3
W-D-L
3-2-7
2.5
Scored /game
1.2
1.2
Conceded /game
2
25%
Clean sheets
8%
8%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—

Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (Molde at home plus Fredrikstad away).

Players

Key players this season

Molde

  • E. Breivik9G · 9A
  • K. Lonebu8G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
History

Head-to-head

1
Molde
2
Draws
2
Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad have won 2 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2025-09-13Molde1-2Fredrikstad
  • 2025-07-12Fredrikstad4-2Molde
  • 2024-12-07Fredrikstad0-0Molde
  • 2024-09-14Molde6-1Fredrikstad
  • 2024-07-13Fredrikstad0-0Molde
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

84%57 won from 68 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Molde or Draw
76%
Confidence

Molde have recorded eight wins and just three defeats across 12 home league matches, scoring 2.5 goals per match at home. While Fredrikstad earned victories in both 2025 meetings between these sides, their overall away record of seven losses from 12 trips and an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away fixture makes an outright away win improbable. Backing Molde to take at least a point respects Fredrikstad's competitive head-to-head record while reflecting Molde's commanding home statistics.

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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.