BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 21
Venue
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Referee
Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway
Form

Recent form

Fredrikstad
44Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Sarpsborg 08 FF
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Fredrikstad host Sarpsborg 08 FF in round 21 of the Eliteserien, with just two points separating the sides in the table. Fredrikstad sit in eighth place on 26 points, while Sarpsborg are ninth with 24 points. The hosts have demonstrated strong momentum recently, winning four of their last five matches in all competitions before suffering a narrow 2-1 defeat to Bodo/Glimt.

Sarpsborg 08 travel following consecutive draws against Tromso and Valerenga. Their away form has been a recurring issue this campaign, yielding two wins, three draws, and five losses from ten road fixtures while conceding 1.6 goals per game on their travels.

The head-to-head history reflects a balanced rivalry, with three wins apiece and two draws across their past eight meetings. However, Fredrikstad's steady record at home, where they have won five of nine matches and conceded only 10 goals, gives them a slight edge coming into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Fredrikstad have won five of their nine home league fixtures this season, conceding only 10 goals.
  2. Sarpsborg 08 have managed just two wins from ten away matches in the Eliteserien, suffering five defeats.
  3. Fredrikstad have won four of their last five competitive matches.
  4. The past eight head-to-head meetings between the clubs have averaged 2.25 goals, staying under 2.5 goals in 62.5 percent of those games.
  5. Both clubs average exactly 1.2 goals scored per game across the 19 league rounds played.
Availability

Team news

Fredrikstad

  • S. KvileKnee Injury
  • J. NysveenInjury
  • D. EidYellow Cards

Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • F. CarstensenInjury
  • M. OpokuAnkle Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Fredrikstad at homeSarpsborg 08 FF away
11
Played
12
5-3-3
W-D-L
3-4-5
1.3
Scored /game
1.3
1.1
Conceded /game
1.6
18%
Clean sheets
25%
9%
Failed to score
33%
—
BTTS (last 5)
60%
—
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.6 goals per game (Fredrikstad at home plus Sarpsborg 08 FF away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
7Brann23+329
8Fredrikstad23-829
9KFUM Oslo23-929
10Sarpsborg 08 FF23-628
11Valerenga23-826
12Ham-Kam23-1526
13Sandefjord23-824
History

Head-to-head

3
Fredrikstad
2
Draws
3
Sarpsborg 08 FF

the last 8 meetings are split 3-3 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-05-09Sarpsborg 08 FF2-1Fredrikstad
  • 2026-03-08Fredrikstad2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2025-11-08Sarpsborg 08 FF0-2Fredrikstad
  • 2025-06-01Fredrikstad1-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
  • 2024-09-28Sarpsborg 08 FF0-1Fredrikstad
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

84%57 won from 68 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
Confidence

Head-to-head meetings between these two clubs have historically leaned towards low totals, averaging 2.25 goals per game across their last eight matches with under 2.5 goals landing 62.5 percent of the time. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per match in the league this season, and Fredrikstad have conceded only 10 goals across nine home matches, pointing towards a tightly contested game with limited goalscoring opportunities.

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Fredrikstad or Draw
72%
Confidence

Fredrikstad have taken five wins and one draw from their nine home league fixtures, showing dependable form on their own ground where they concede only 1.1 goals per game. Sarpsborg 08 have struggled for consistency on the road, winning just two of ten away matches and losing five. With Fredrikstad in positive recent form winning four of their last five overall, backing them to avoid defeat offers strong coverage against a direct table rival.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 12, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.