Premiership (Scotland)

Rangers possess a decisive historical and structural advantage in this matchup. They have won each of the last nine head-to-head clashes with ST Johnstone across all competitions, including five straight victories at home by scorelines of 3-1, 2-0, 2-0, 2-0, and 2-0. ST Johnstone average just 0.8 goals per away game this season and face a Rangers backline that concedes only 0.8 goals per game with four clean sheets across nine league outings. While ST Johnstone remain competitive in mid-table, the combination of venue advantage, defensive stability, and comprehensive head-to-head dominance strongly supports an outright home win.

Dundee enter this match in positive form, earning seven points from their last three matches while scoring two goals in each game against Motherwell, Falkirk, and Rangers. They hold an away record of two wins and two losses, conceding just one goal per game on average on the road. By comparison, ST Mirren have lost five league games in a row, conceding fourteen goals across those defeats. Backing Dundee to either win or draw covers two plausible results while reflecting the contrasting form lines of both squads.

Dundee United arrive in positive form, having taken eight points from their last four league matches. They have maintained a solid defensive platform at home, conceding only one goal per game on average. Aberdeen have struggled for attacking consistency this season, failing to score in five of their nine Premiership fixtures. In head-to-head encounters at Tannadice, Dundee United have proven difficult to beat, winning three and drawing one of the last four meetings. Backing the hosts to take at least a point aligns well with both recent form and head-to-head trends, while the modest scoring averages of both teams point toward a low-scoring contest under 2.5 goals.

Falkirk have displayed consistent superiority in recent league meetings against Kilmarnock, winning the last three Premiership encounters between the clubs by scorelines of 5-1, 1-0, and 3-1. Falkirk have also gathered positive momentum by earning points in three of their last four league matches, most recently defeating Hibernian 2-1 away from home.

Kilmarnock have struggled for defensive solidity, having conceded 20 goals across their nine league matches this season, which translates to an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game. While Kilmarnock did manage a 3-2 victory over Motherwell in their last match, their overall record of five losses from nine outings highlights persistent vulnerability. Backing Falkirk to either win or draw covers two of the three possible outcomes while reflecting Kilmarnock's defensive troubles.

This fixture presents an extreme domestic mismatch across league standings, venue splits, and current form. Celtic lead the Premiership with eight wins from nine matches, including a perfect four wins from four away games with ten goals scored and two conceded. Conversely, Hibernian sit twelfth and remain winless at home with four losses and one draw in five fixtures, conceding at an average of 1.8 goals per home match. Head-to-head history also heavily favours Celtic, who have won seven of the last ten meetings between the clubs. Even with multiple squad absences noted for the visitors, the substantial gulf in performance and Celtic's potency in front of goal make an away victory the most probable outcome.

Motherwell are enduring a difficult run with five consecutive defeats, scoring just three goals in four home league outings this campaign. Heart of Midlothian have shown far greater potency, scoring twenty goals across nine league games and finding the net in all nine. Although Hearts have won only once on the road in five league attempts, Motherwell's poor form makes a home victory less probable. With three of the last four meetings at Fir Park finishing level, backing Hearts to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes.

Celtic have been dependable in league play, winning seven of eight fixtures and allowing just two goals in four home Premiership matches. Nevertheless, Hearts pose an attacking test having scored in every league fixture this term and averaging 2.4 goals per game overall. With Celtic managing key defensive injuries to Carter-Vickers and Johnston, and Hearts having taken four wins from the last ten head-to-head meetings, covering both the home victory and the draw provides the most sensible approach. Backing over 2.5 goals also aligns with the fixture history, where 70 percent of recent meetings exceeded that mark with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Rangers hold the upper hand in form and structure, having posted five straight victories while conceding only five goals across eight league matches overall. Their away record is particularly solid, with three wins and one draw alongside an average of just 0.5 goals conceded per match. Head-to-head history reinforces this advantage, as Dundee have failed to win any of the last ten meetings between the teams, losing seven and drawing three.

Dundee nonetheless pose a threat on home soil, having scored in every home league fixture this season and winning their last two matches overall. Because Dundee have managed two draws in their last four home games against Rangers, covering both the away victory and the draw provides balanced protection against a spirited home display. The under 2.5 total goals angle is supported by Rangers conceding only 0.5 goals per game on the road and Dundee conceding just one goal per game at home.

The historical head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd strongly points toward a low-scoring match, with their previous ten encounters averaging just 1.6 goals per game. Under 2.5 goals landed in seven of those ten fixtures, and both teams scored in only 30 percent of them. Additionally, four of ST Johnstone's last five league matches have seen two or fewer goals, including a 1-0 win at Aberdeen, a 1-1 draw with Falkirk, and a 1-0 loss to Celtic. With both clubs level on points and defending positions in the top six, a compact and cautious contest is probable.

Aberdeen have found goals hard to come by at home this campaign, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match across their four home outings. In three of those four home games, Aberdeen failed to find the back of the net. ST Mirren travel north having lost four consecutive Premiership matches, failing to score in each of their last three fixtures while managing only three goals in four away fixtures this season. Furthermore, four of the last five head-to-head encounters between these clubs have seen under 2.5 goals scored, including both meetings in 2026 which ended in 2-0 scorelines. Given the scoring droughts afflicting both sides, backing under 2.5 goals is well supported by the evidence.

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Kilmarnock have seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five Premiership matches, including 1-1 draws against Aberdeen and Hearts, a 1-0 win over Hibernian, and a 0-0 draw with Aberdeen. At Rugby Park, Kilmarnock have managed only two goals across four league fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals per home game. Motherwell have also found goals hard to come by during their four-game losing sequence, failing to score in three of those matches against Celtic, Aberdeen, and Rangers. In head-to-head history, 60 percent of the last ten meetings between these teams produced under 2.5 goals, with an overall average of 2.3 goals per game.

Kilmarnock Under 1.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Kilmarnock have struggled for offensive output at home this season, scoring just two goals in four league games at Rugby Park for an average of 0.5 goals per match. Across their eight Premiership matches overall, Kilmarnock have scored seven goals (0.9 per game), failing to score more than once in any of their last five fixtures. Given their low scoring rate on home turf and the fact that they have failed to score in two of their four home games, the evidence points towards Kilmarnock staying under 1.5 team goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Kilmarnock have struggled for offensive output at home this season, scoring just two goals in four league games at Rugby Park for an average of 0.5 goals per match. Across their eight Premiership matches overall, Kilmarnock have scored seven goals (0.9 per game), failing to score more than once in any of their last five fixtures. Given their low scoring rate on home turf and the fact that they have failed to score in two of their four home games, the evidence points towards Kilmarnock staying under 1.5 team goals.

Kilmarnock have seen under 2.5 goals in four of their last five Premiership matches, including 1-1 draws against Aberdeen and Hearts, a 1-0 win over Hibernian, and a 0-0 draw with Aberdeen. At Rugby Park, Kilmarnock have managed only two goals across four league fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals per home game. Motherwell have also found goals hard to come by during their four-game losing sequence, failing to score in three of those matches against Celtic, Aberdeen, and Rangers. In head-to-head history, 60 percent of the last ten meetings between these teams produced under 2.5 goals, with an overall average of 2.3 goals per game.

Falkirk or Draw — 64% confidence

Hibernian have struggled at home, recording zero wins, one draw and three losses from four outings at Easter Road. Falkirk have developed a habit of picking up points away from home, losing only once in four road trips with three draws. Falkirk's defensive discipline away, where they have conceded just four goals in four matches, gives them a strong opportunity to avoid defeat.

BTTS Yes — 72% confidence

Hibernian have failed to keep a clean sheet in all eight Premiership matches this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game at home. Falkirk enter this fixture having found the back of the net in each of their last five matches, with both teams scoring in all five. Head-to-head history also heavily supports this outcome, with both sides scoring in 80 percent of their last ten meetings.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Hibernian have struggled at home, recording zero wins, one draw and three losses from four outings at Easter Road. Falkirk have developed a habit of picking up points away from home, losing only once in four road trips with three draws. Falkirk's defensive discipline away, where they have conceded just four goals in four matches, gives them a strong opportunity to avoid defeat.

Hibernian have failed to keep a clean sheet in all eight Premiership matches this season, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game at home. Falkirk enter this fixture having found the back of the net in each of their last five matches, with both teams scoring in all five. Head-to-head history also heavily supports this outcome, with both sides scoring in 80 percent of their last ten meetings.

Aberdeen or Draw — 76% confidence

Aberdeen come into the match in positive form, remaining undefeated across their last five matches. In contrast, ST Johnstone have yet to win away from home in league play this season, taking only one point from three away matches while failing to keep a clean sheet anywhere this term. Aberdeen have also avoided defeat in nine of their last ten clashes against ST Johnstone.

Under 2.5 Goals — 77% confidence

Meetings between Aberdeen and ST Johnstone have consistently been low-scoring affairs, with nine of the previous ten head-to-head encounters producing under 2.5 goals at an average of 1.4 goals per match. Aberdeen have maintained a tight defensive record at home, averaging 0.7 goals conceded and 0.7 scored per match, while ST Johnstone average just 0.7 goals scored per away game in the Premiership.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Aberdeen come into the match in positive form, remaining undefeated across their last five matches. In contrast, ST Johnstone have yet to win away from home in league play this season, taking only one point from three away matches while failing to keep a clean sheet anywhere this term. Aberdeen have also avoided defeat in nine of their last ten clashes against ST Johnstone.

Meetings between Aberdeen and ST Johnstone have consistently been low-scoring affairs, with nine of the previous ten head-to-head encounters producing under 2.5 goals at an average of 1.4 goals per match. Aberdeen have maintained a tight defensive record at home, averaging 0.7 goals conceded and 0.7 scored per match, while ST Johnstone average just 0.7 goals scored per away game in the Premiership.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

High-scoring affairs have defined this fixture, with 80 percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings producing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.6 goals per game. Celtic have been potent on the road in the Premiership, averaging 2.7 goals scored per game across three away victories. Motherwell have shown defensive vulnerability by conceding seven goals in their last three league outings, including four at home against Aberdeen. With attacking contributors such as C. Duran, B. Nygren, and K. Hogh each tallying three league goals this campaign, the evidence supports another open contest that eclipses the 2.5 goal mark.

Celtic or Draw — 78% confidence

Celtic have compiled a strong domestic campaign with six wins from seven league games, including three wins from three on their travels. Motherwell have stumbled into a three-game losing skid in the Premiership and have won just one of their three home league fixtures. Celtic have dominated this match-up with eight victories from the last ten meetings, but recent losses in cup and European action alongside key squad absences make taking the double chance to cover the draw the most measured position.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Celtic have compiled a strong domestic campaign with six wins from seven league games, including three wins from three on their travels. Motherwell have stumbled into a three-game losing skid in the Premiership and have won just one of their three home league fixtures. Celtic have dominated this match-up with eight victories from the last ten meetings, but recent losses in cup and European action alongside key squad absences make taking the double chance to cover the draw the most measured position.

High-scoring affairs have defined this fixture, with 80 percent of the last ten head-to-head meetings producing over 2.5 goals at an average of 3.6 goals per game. Celtic have been potent on the road in the Premiership, averaging 2.7 goals scored per game across three away victories. Motherwell have shown defensive vulnerability by conceding seven goals in their last three league outings, including four at home against Aberdeen. With attacking contributors such as C. Duran, B. Nygren, and K. Hogh each tallying three league goals this campaign, the evidence supports another open contest that eclipses the 2.5 goal mark.

The evidence points directly toward three or more goals rather than stopping at a lower count. Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Motherwell and Celtic, 80 percent produced over 2.5 goals, generating a robust average of 3.6 goals per match. Celtic are averaging 2.7 goals per game on their league travels this season, scoring eight times in three away fixtures. Motherwell have conceded 1.6 goals per game overall and have been breached multiple times in recent outings, including four against Aberdeen and two against Dundee. Because the head-to-head profile consistently clears the three-goal mark and Celtic possess the firepower to drive the total single-handedly against a struggling defence, the 2.5 line is materially supported.

Rangers hold an overwhelming advantage across league position, current form, and head-to-head records. Sitting second in the table, Rangers have collected five consecutive victories and have conceded just four goals in seven league matches this term. Kilmarnock sit bottom of the division with only one win from seven matches and have conceded 15 times already. Additionally, Rangers have won all five of their previous home head-to-head fixtures against Kilmarnock in the available sample, scoring 21 goals across those five games. This combination of superior defensive stability, consistent winning momentum, and historical dominance makes a home win the standout selection.

Heart of Midlothian have maintained a perfect record on home soil this season, winning three out of three league games with eight goals scored. In addition, Hearts have defeated ST Mirren in each of the previous three head-to-head encounters played at Tynecastle. ST Mirren come into the fixture on a three-match losing sequence in which they scored just once. Backing the home side to avoid defeat covers both a home win and a low-scoring stalemate.

Both teams to score is strongly backed by the recent match patterns of both clubs. Falkirk have seen both teams score in five consecutive Premiership fixtures, recording 1-1 draws with St Johnstone and Dundee United, a 2-1 win over Hearts, and 1-2 defeats to Rangers and Celtic. Dundee have produced an almost identical trend, with both teams scoring in four consecutive matches, including 2-1 results against Motherwell and Hearts and a 1-1 draw with St Johnstone. With Dundee averaging 1.3 goals scored per match and Falkirk finding the net in five straight games, both sides hold strong prospects of getting on the scoresheet.