Al-Ahli Jeddah hold a distinct advantage across current form, league phase standings, and head-to-head history. The hosts have recorded four consecutive victories across all competitions, scoring at least three goals in each win, including a 3-1 away victory against Al-Wasl in this tournament. Al-Gharafa have struggled to gain traction in the competition, losing both matches by 2-1 margins and failing to win any of their last four matches overall. Furthermore, Al-Ahli won the last two meetings between these sides in 2025 by scores of 4-0 and 4-2. With Al-Gharafa conceding an average of two goals per match in the competition and Al-Ahli averaging two goals scored, the home side are well placed to claim the victory.
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa prediction
- Round
- League Phase - 3
- Venue
- Alinma Stadium, Jeddah
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +9 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Al-Ahli Jeddah welcome Al-Gharafa for round three of the AFC Champions League Elite league phase. The hosts have enjoyed a solid opening to the continental campaign, picking up four points from their first two fixtures with a win and a draw to sit fifth in the table. Their overall momentum is strong, having won each of their last four matches across all competitions while scoring 14 goals in the process.
In contrast, Al-Gharafa have endured a frustrating start in Asia, losing both of their opening two league phase matches by 2-1 scorelines to sit 13th without a point. The visiting side are winless in four competitive matches, having drawn against Al Ahli Doha and Al-Rayyan following back-to-back defeats against Esteghlal and Al Wakrah.
Historical meetings between these two clubs also lean toward the Saudi side. Al-Ahli Jeddah have never lost to Al-Gharafa across four competitive encounters, winning the last two meetings in Jeddah by 4-0 and 4-2 scorelines. With Al-Ahli in prolific scoring form and Al-Gharafa conceding two goals per game in this tournament, the home side enter with the upper hand.
Key factors
- Al-Ahli Jeddah have won their last four matches across all competitions, scoring 14 goals in that stretch.
- Al-Gharafa have lost both of their opening AFC Champions League Elite fixtures by 2-1 scorelines.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah are unbeaten in four historical meetings with Al-Gharafa, winning the last two home clashes 4-0 and 4-2.
- Al-Gharafa have failed to win any of their last four competitive fixtures, posting two draws and two losses.
- All five of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last five games across all competitions have featured three or more total goals.
Statistical comparison
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 2
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 2 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 3.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.
- 2025-10-20Al-Ahli Jeddah4-0Al-Gharafa
- 2025-02-17Al-Ahli Jeddah4-2Al-Gharafa
- 2018-03-13Al-Ahli Jeddah1-1Al-Gharafa
- 2018-03-05Al-Gharafa1-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
Our record in AFC Champions League Elite
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

