Pakhtakor have shown resilience in the AFC Champions League Elite, remaining unbeaten across their fixtures with five goals scored and only two conceded. In contrast, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have lost both of their opening league phase games, conceding five times and managing just one goal. The historical record also favours the visitors, as Pakhtakor have never lost to Al Quwa Al Jawiya in three head-to-head meetings, winning twice and drawing once. While Pakhtakor recently suffered a domestic defeat to Neftchi, their continental form and defensive solidity give them a strong probability of taking at least a draw from Iraq.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor prediction
- Round
- League Phase - 3
- Venue
- AL Madina Stadium, Baghdad
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Pakhtakor or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Pakhtakor in the third round of the AFC Champions League Elite league phase, aiming to put their first points on the board. The Iraqi side have endured a difficult start to the continental campaign, losing both of their opening matches, including a 4-1 home defeat to Al Ain, which leaves them sitting 15th in the standings.
Pakhtakor enter this contest in a comparatively stable position, placed 9th in the table having remained undefeated through their continental fixtures. Across their three Champions League matches recorded, the Uzbek club have scored five goals while conceding only two, demonstrating solid defensive organisation.
Historical encounters also lean in favor of the visitors. The sides have met three times in AFC Champions League competition, with Pakhtakor winning two and drawing one. Combined with Al Quwa Al Jawiya struggling for offensive rhythm having failed to score in their last two matches overall, the visitors hold the edge heading into this fixture.
Key factors
- Pakhtakor are undefeated against Al Quwa Al Jawiya in three previous AFC Champions League meetings, recording two wins and one draw.
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya have lost both of their opening continental matches, conceding five goals and scoring just once.
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya have failed to score in their last two matches across all competitions, drawing 0-0 with Al-Karma and losing 1-0 to Al Talaba.
- Historical meetings between the two teams average only 1.33 goals per game, with two of three finishing under 2.5 goals.
- Pakhtakor hold a resilient defensive record in continental play, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per game.
Statistical comparison
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 0
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Pakhtakor
Pakhtakor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 2021-04-29Pakhtakor1-0Al Quwa Al Jawiya
- 2021-04-17Al Quwa Al Jawiya0-0Pakhtakor
- 2019-02-12Pakhtakor2-1Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Our record in AFC Champions League Elite
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Past encounters between these two clubs have consistently produced low scorelines, averaging just 1.33 goals across three head-to-head fixtures with under 2.5 goals landing in two of those three matches. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have lacked cutting edge recently, drawing blanks in their last two domestic outings in a 1-0 loss to Al Talaba and a 0-0 draw against Al-Karma. Pakhtakor have conceded only 0.7 goals per match in this competition, keeping things compact. While Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded four against Al Ain, four of their last five matches in all competitions have stayed under the 2.5 goal mark.
Pakhtakor or Draw — 74% confidence
Pakhtakor have shown resilience in the AFC Champions League Elite, remaining unbeaten across their fixtures with five goals scored and only two conceded. In contrast, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have lost both of their opening league phase games, conceding five times and managing just one goal. The historical record also favours the visitors, as Pakhtakor have never lost to Al Quwa Al Jawiya in three head-to-head meetings, winning twice and drawing once. While Pakhtakor recently suffered a domestic defeat to Neftchi, their continental form and defensive solidity give them a strong probability of taking at least a draw from Iraq.
Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence
Past encounters between these two clubs have consistently produced low scorelines, averaging just 1.33 goals across three head-to-head fixtures with under 2.5 goals landing in two of those three matches. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have lacked cutting edge recently, drawing blanks in their last two domestic outings in a 1-0 loss to Al Talaba and a 0-0 draw against Al-Karma. Pakhtakor have conceded only 0.7 goals per match in this competition, keeping things compact. While Al Quwa Al Jawiya conceded four against Al Ain, four of their last five matches in all competitions have stayed under the 2.5 goal mark.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
- Total goals: Goals predictions · How goals markets settle · Total goals record
- Combo bet: Multi bets · How multi bets work
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Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

