Malaga remain winless after nine rounds in La Liga, recording four draws and five defeats while scoring just six goals all season. On the road, they have managed only one goal in four matches and failed to score in three of those trips. Although Alaves have endured a dip with four defeats and one draw in their last five matches, their home record remains respectable with three wins from five games and an average of two goals scored per match. In addition, Malaga have four players sidelined through injury, including J. Lobete and A. Ochoa. Backing Alaves to either win or share the points provides solid coverage against their recent patch of low scoring form while accounting for Malaga's persistent inability to secure three points away from home.
- Round
- Regular Season - 10
- Venue
- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz
- Referee
- Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Alaves or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Alaves welcome bottom-of-the-table Malaga to Mendizorrotza looking to arrest a difficult run of form. The hosts sit seventh in La Liga with 11 points from nine matches, having won three of their five home fixtures while scoring ten goals in front of their own supporters. However, recent weeks have proven challenging, with Alaves failing to record a victory in their last five matches across all competitions.
Malaga travel north in search of their first league win of the campaign, having drawn four and lost five of their opening nine fixtures. Their struggles have been particularly noticeable on their travels, collecting just one point from four away fixtures while finding the net only once and conceding eight times.
With Malaga troubled by four defensive and midfield injuries and Alaves missing F. Garces through suspension and M. Rodriguez to an ankle issue, both managers are forced to shuffle their resources. Alaves have demonstrated far superior home scoring punch than Malaga have managed on the road, giving the hosts the upper hand to take something from this clash.
Key factors
- Malaga have not won any of their nine La Liga fixtures this season, drawing four and losing five.
- Malaga have scored just one goal across four away league games, failing to score in three of them.
- Alaves have won three of their five home fixtures in La Liga, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match at home.
- Alaves are winless in their last five matches, making the draw a factor to respect.
- Malaga enter the match with four confirmed injury absences: J. Lobete, A. Ochoa, J. Cruz, and D. Murillo.
Team news
Alaves
- M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
- F. GarcesSuspended
Malaga
- J. CruzMuscle Injury
- J. LobeteKnee Injury
- J. MunozCalf Injury
- D. MurilloKnee Injury
- A. OchoaKnee Injury
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Alaves at home plus Malaga away).
Key players this season
Alaves
- M. Díaz4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | ElcheRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | MalagaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 10 | -12 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Alaves
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Malaga
Alaves have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game.
- 2023-05-20Alaves2-1Malaga
- 2022-12-18Malaga1-0Alaves
- 2018-05-06Malaga0-3Alaves
- 2017-12-21Alaves1-0Malaga
- 2017-03-11Malaga1-2Alaves
Our record in La Liga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.2 published markets
Over 1.5 goals is strongly backed by both sides defensive and offensive tendencies, whereas the evidence does not sufficiently justify stepping up to Over 2.5. Alaves have averaged two goals scored per game at home this season, and Malaga have conceded an average of two goals per game in away fixtures. Malaga have surrendered eighteen goals in nine league matches, keeping just one clean sheet overall. However, reaching three or more goals is questionable because Malaga have scored only once across four away matches, failing to score in three of them. Because Alaves have netted just three total goals in their last five league games, relying on a third goal without dependable away contributions is difficult to back, making the two-goal threshold the most suitable line.
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Published October 22, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.