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Sun 6 Sept · 17:30

Alaves vs Osasuna prediction

Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Referee
José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
Form

Recent form

Alaves
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference

Osasuna
13Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -12 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Alaves or Draw

BetGenius backs Alaves or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Alaves welcome Osasuna to Mendizorroza in a clash between two sides who have enjoyed impressive, unbeaten starts to the La Liga campaign. Both teams sit level on seven points from their opening three fixtures, with Alaves currently fourth and Osasuna right behind in fifth place.

Alaves have been particularly solid on home turf, winning both of their home fixtures against Villarreal and Getafe without conceding a single goal. Their defensive discipline has yielded only one goal conceded across the entire opening stretch, while forward M. Diaz has already contributed two goals and two assists.

Osasuna arrive with comparable defensive solidity, having also conceded just one goal in three league matches. Having secured an away victory against Celta Vigo and a home point against Levante, the visitors present a tough tactical test in what promises to be a closely contested regional matchup.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Alaves have won both of their home fixtures this season without conceding a goal.
  2. Both Alaves and Osasuna remain unbeaten in La Liga with identical records of two wins and one draw.
  3. Defensive records are strong on both sides, each conceding only one goal across their opening three league matches.
  4. M. Diaz has provided four goal contributions (two goals and two assists) for Alaves in the opening stages of the campaign.
  5. Recent head-to-head league meetings in Vitoria have been tightly contested, including 2-2 and 1-1 draws in the past two seasons.
Availability

Team news

Alaves

  • M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
  • F. GarcesSuspended

Osasuna

  • R. Del CastilloMuscle Injury
  • J. HerrandoMuscle Injury
  • A. OrozInjury
  • A. BonelInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alaves at homeOsasuna away
5
Played
4
3-0-2
W-D-L
1-0-3
2
Scored /game
1.5
1
Conceded /game
3.8
40%
Clean sheets
—
20%
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Alaves at home plus Osasuna away).

Players

Key players this season

Alaves

  • M. Díaz4A

Osasuna

  • A. Budimir7G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+219
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
History

Head-to-head

3
Alaves
3
Draws
4
Osasuna

Osasuna have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-09-06Alaves5-2Osasuna
  • 2026-04-05Alaves2-2Osasuna
  • 2025-12-20Osasuna3-0Alaves
  • 2025-05-24Alaves1-1Osasuna
  • 2024-12-08Osasuna2-2Alaves
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

74%92 won from 125 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Alaves or Draw
74%
Confidence

Alaves have been dependable at home, winning both league matches at Mendizorroza with clean sheets. Both sides have conceded just one goal across their three opening league matches, pointing toward a tight tactical battle where Alaves have the edge to take at least a point.

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Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.