Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
BetGenius backs Alaves Over 1.5 Goals (Team Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Alaves welcome Valencia to Mendizorrotza in round six of La Liga with the two teams experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. The home side occupy third place in the table after collecting ten points and maintaining an unbeaten record across their opening matches. Their home form has been particularly strong, delivering three victories from three matches with nine goals scored and only two conceded.
Valencia travel to the Basque country rooted to the bottom of the standings in 20th place with a single point. Los Che have suffered three defeats in four league matches, scoring only once across those fixtures while conceding nine goals. Compounding their early difficulties is a substantial list of unavailabilities, leaving multiple regular contributors sidelined for this trip.
Head-to-head history at this ground also leans towards the hosts, who have recorded three wins and a draw in their four home meetings against Valencia in the recorded sample. With Alaves functioning effectively in attack behind L. Boyé and M. Díaz, the dynamics favor the home side maintaining their momentum against an opponent looking for stability.
Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Alaves at home plus Valencia away).
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | ElcheRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | ValenciaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 9 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | MalagaRelegation - LaLiga2 | 10 | -12 | 5 |
Alaves have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Alaves have maintained an average of 3.0 goals per match at home this season, scoring three against Getafe and five against Osasuna. Attackers L. Boyé with four goals and M. Díaz with three goals and three assists face a Valencia defense that has conceded nine goals in four league games, including three in their sole away match against Deportivo La Coruna.
Alaves have won all three of their home fixtures this season, scoring nine times and conceding only twice. In contrast, Valencia have earned one point from four matches and enter this fixture missing eight players through injury, including M. Diakhaby, D. Foulquier, and U. Sadiq. Alaves are also unbeaten in their four home meetings against Valencia in the head-to-head record with three wins and one draw.
Valencia have struggled for offensive output, scoring only one goal across four league games and failing to score in three of them. Alaves have kept clean sheets in two of their three home outings, securing shutout victories over Villarreal and Getafe. Additionally, both teams have scored in only 30 percent of the ten most recent meetings between these sides.
Published September 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
