BetGenius
Round
League C - 4
Venue
Arena Kombëtare, Tirana
Referee
Mehmet Turkmen
Form

Recent form

Albania
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +2 goal difference

San Marino
3Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -16 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Albania to win + BTTS No

BetGenius backs Albania to win + BTTS No (Combo Bet) at 81% confidence — a strong call.

81%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Albania host San Marino in League C of the UEFA Nations League, looking to build on a solid campaign to date. The home side have recorded two victories from three group matches, scoring six goals and conceding twice. Their previous home outing produced a 2-0 win over Belarus, which was followed by a 3-0 away win against San Marino.

San Marino enter this match in exceptionally difficult form, having lost all three group fixtures without scoring a goal. Their defensive line has been breached 14 times in those three matches, including a 7-0 loss to Finland, a 3-0 home defeat against Albania, and a 4-0 loss away to Belarus.

The historical and recent meetings heavily favor the hosts. Albania have won all prior competitive encounters with San Marino without conceding, and the visitors have generated very little attacking output in this competition.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Albania at homeSan Marino away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
History

Head-to-head

3
Albania
0
Draws
0
San Marino

Albania have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-09-29San Marino0-3Albania
  • 2021-09-08Albania5-0San Marino
  • 2021-03-31San Marino0-2Albania
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Our record in UEFA Nations League

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Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

4 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
Albania to win + BTTS No
81%
Both must land · no better than

Albania to win — 89% confidence

Albania have a decisive advantage across all statistical metrics. They defeated San Marino 3-0 away from home a week prior and have scored six goals across three Nations League fixtures. San Marino have lost all three group games by three or more goals, conceding 14 goals in total while failing to score. The combination of home advantage, superior form, and head-to-head dominance makes a home win the most probable result by a substantial margin.

BTTS No — 81% confidence

San Marino have failed to find the net in all three of their Nations League matches this campaign. Albania have conceded zero goals at home in this competition and kept a clean sheet in the reverse fixture in late September. Historical competitive meetings between the two also ended in clean-sheet victories for Albania by 5-0 and 2-0 scorelines.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
Confidence

Every group match involving San Marino so far has produced at least three total goals, with scorelines of 0-7, 0-3, and 0-4. Albania average two goals scored per match in the group stage and possess the attacking quality to breach a San Marino defense that is conceding an average of 4.7 goals per game.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
No
81%
Confidence

San Marino have failed to find the net in all three of their Nations League matches this campaign. Albania have conceded zero goals at home in this competition and kept a clean sheet in the reverse fixture in late September. Historical competitive meetings between the two also ended in clean-sheet victories for Albania by 5-0 and 2-0 scorelines.

Combo BetWON
Match Winner
Albania to win
89%
Confidence

Albania have a decisive advantage across all statistical metrics. They defeated San Marino 3-0 away from home a week prior and have scored six goals across three Nations League fixtures. San Marino have lost all three group games by three or more goals, conceding 14 goals in total while failing to score. The combination of home advantage, superior form, and head-to-head dominance makes a home win the most probable result by a substantial margin.

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Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.