The evidence robustly justifies selecting over 2.5 goals rather than the lower 1.5 line. Wolfsburg are averaging 3.3 goals scored per match across all league fixtures this season and have not failed to find the net in any game. In addition, their two home matches produced five goals scored and three conceded, an average of 4.0 total goals per fixture.
FC Koln have also participated in open, high-scoring away fixtures, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match on the road while scoring twice per game themselves. Crucially, nine of the past ten direct encounters between these two clubs have produced three or more goals, with an overall average of 4.5 goals across that span. Because Wolfsburg possess the firepower to clear this line almost single-handedly against a Koln defence that conceded five at Bayern, three or more goals is the most natural fit for the match profile.