BetGenius

Alcains vs Sertanense prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 04:00 PM
Round
1/128-finals

Recent form

Alcains
7Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-0D-5L · -8 goal difference

Sertanense
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Sertanense or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Sertanense or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Alcains host Sertanense in the 1/128-finals of the Taça de Portugal, renewing a regional cup and league rivalry. Both sides will be seeking a positive turnaround in knockout football following difficult stretches in their recorded competitive fixtures.

Alcains enter this cup tie enduring a difficult run of form, having suffered five consecutive defeats in their last five recorded matches while being held scoreless in four of those encounters. Sertanense, meanwhile, have had mixed fortunes but have shown greater attacking output, finding the net in four of their last five outings across competitive action.

Historically, Sertanense have held the upper hand in direct encounters between the two clubs. Across seven head-to-head meetings, Sertanense have claimed four victories compared to two for Alcains, including three wins from four visits to Alcains' home ground. With both sides cautious in early-round cup ties, a tightly contested battle is expected.

Key factors

  • Sertanense have won four of the seven historical head-to-head meetings, including three victories in four away fixtures at Alcains.
  • Alcains have lost each of their last five recorded matches, scoring only a single goal across that sequence.
  • The head-to-head history averages 2.29 goals per game, with under 2.5 goals landing in 57.1% of their seven previous meetings.
  • Sertanense defeated Alcains 3-1 in their most recent encounter on 6 April 2025.

Statistical comparison

Alcains at home vs Sertanense away
Played
W-D-L
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Head-to-head

Full record →
Alcains
3
Draws
1
Sertanense
4

Sertanense have won 4 of the last 8 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 38% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Alcains 1-0 Sertanense
  • 2025-04-06Sertanense 3-1 Alcains
  • 2024-12-15Alcains 2-0 Sertanense
  • 2023-04-16Sertanense 1-3 Alcains
  • 2023-01-08Alcains 0-3 Sertanense

Our record in Taça de Portugal

89%39 won from 44 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Sertanense or Draw
Confidence68%

Sertanense have demonstrated a clear edge in this matchup historically, winning four of the last seven head-to-head encounters, including three victories at Alcains. Combined with Alcains' run of five straight losses with only one goal scored across that span, backing Sertanense on the double chance provides strong probabilistic support without overcommitting in a knockout cup environment.

Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.