Alcains

Vitoria Setubal have shown consistent offensive output in recent weeks, scoring in all four of their late summer fixtures, including a 1-0 away victory at Lajense and a 2-2 draw with Juventude Evora. While Alcains secured a narrow 1-0 win against Sertanense in their opening cup outing, their broader run of form shows limited attacking production, having failed to score in three of their last five matches. Backing the visitors to win or draw accounts for Setubal's steady goalscoring form while respecting the tight nature of early-round cup ties.

Sertanense have demonstrated a clear edge in this matchup historically, winning four of the last seven head-to-head encounters, including three victories at Alcains. Combined with Alcains' run of five straight losses with only one goal scored across that span, backing Sertanense on the double chance provides strong probabilistic support without overcommitting in a knockout cup environment.