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Atalanta
0W 2D 3L · Goals 8–14
5 matches, 18 Oct to 2 Nov
24
Very poor
LLDDLLatest →
vsParma
Serie AL0–3
atFiorentinaSerie AD2–2
vsFrosinoneSerie AD4–4
atAjax
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueL0–2
atAC MilanSerie AL2–3
18:45
Thu 5 Nov
WAT
Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 3
- Venue
- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
- Referee
- J. Weinberger
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Draw No Bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)
BetGenius backs Atalanta (draw no bet) (Draw No Bet) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Atalanta host Kairat Almaty in the League Stage (matchday 3) with both sides on modest records in this competition. Atalanta have 3 points from 2 games and sit 15th of 36, with goal difference level at 0. Kairat have 1 point from 2 games, sit 31st, and have a goal difference of -4.
The strongest signal for Kairat is their domestic record: they are 2nd of 16 in the Kazakhstan Premier League with 19 wins from 30 games and 65 points. That level has not carried over to Europe, where they have conceded 6 goals in two matches, including a 1-5 home defeat to Panathinaikos, and have scored only 2. Atalanta's domestic form is poor by comparison: 13th of 20 in Serie A, with a recent sequence of LDDLW and 20 goals conceded in 10 games. In this competition, though, they have 4 goals scored and 3 conceded, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.
The main uncertainty is the goal count. Kairat's games in this competition have been open, with 8 goals across two matches, while Atalanta's Serie A games have also produced many goals. The standings average of 2.97 goals per game supports a higher-scoring read, though the sample is small.
Analysis
Key factors
- Kairat's domestic strength (2nd of 16 in Kazakhstan, 19 wins from 30) has not translated to Europe, where they have 1 point, 2 goals scored and 6 conceded from two games.
- Atalanta are 15th of 36 in this competition with 3 points, and have won one of their two home games here, scoring 3 and conceding 1.
- Atalanta's domestic form is poor: 13th of 20 in Serie A, LDDLW recently, and 20 goals conceded in 10 games.
- Goal volume favours an open game: Kairat's two games have produced 8 goals, and the competition average stands at 2.97 per game.
- Digest lists I. Hien as injured for Atalanta (muscle bruise); no absences are listed for Kairat, though the availability data is indicative rather than confirmed for this fixture.
- The head-to-head record is not available in the data, so the assessment rests on form, standings and goal records.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Kairat Almaty
1W 3D 1L · Goals 10–9
5 matches, 15 Oct to 31 Oct
48
Average
DWLDDLatest →
vsAltay
Premier LeagueD1–1
atAktobePremier LeagueD2–2
vsPanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueL1–5
vsIrtyshPremier LeagueW5–0
atRigaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueD1–1
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.
Atalanta
- I. HienMuscle Bruise
Kairat Almaty
Team news unavailable for this fixture.
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Atalanta: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026); Kairat Almaty: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Atalanta at homeKairat Almaty away
2
Played
1
1-1-0
W-D-L
0-1-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
60% (5 games)
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mjallby AIFPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 13 | AjaxPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja LukaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | AtalantaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | SC BragaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | GentPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | SC FreiburgPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Prices
Bookmaker odds comparison
Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.
BetGenius
Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League
77%44 won from 57 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
4 published markets
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Combo Bet
Draw No Bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)
70%
Confidence
Atalanta are the stronger side at home on the evidence available. They have won one and drawn one of their two home games in this competition, scoring 3 and conceding 1 there, and Kairat have a single away game here, a draw. Kairat's defence has been the weak point: 6 goals conceded in two games, and 5 of those came in the home defeat to Panathinaikos. Atalanta's domestic form (13th in Serie A, 5 defeats in 10) is a real caveat, which keeps this short of a straight winner. A draw refunds the stake under this market, so the pick depends on Atalanta winning outright rather than on a draw being avoided.
Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Confidence
Goal volume is the clearest pattern in the data. Kairat have conceded 6 goals in their two Europa Conference League games and their last home match ended 1-5. Atalanta's league games have been high-scoring too, including a 4-4 draw with Frosinone and a 2-3 defeat at AC Milan. Atalanta's own defence is leaky, conceding 20 in 10 Serie A games, and the standings average of 2.97 goals per game across the competition points the same way. Atalanta have conceded only 3 goals in their 4 games here, and Kairat have scored just 2, so the case for over 2.5 relies on Kairat's defensive record and Atalanta's league form rather than on this competition's totals alone.
Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Over 2.5 Goals + Atalanta (draw no bet)
62%
Both must land · no better than
Over 2.5 Goals — 62% confidence
Goal volume is the clearest pattern in the data. Kairat have conceded 6 goals in their two Europa Conference League games and their last home match ended 1-5. Atalanta's league games have been high-scoring too, including a 4-4 draw with Frosinone and a 2-3 defeat at AC Milan. Atalanta's own defence is leaky, conceding 20 in 10 Serie A games, and the standings average of 2.97 goals per game across the competition points the same way. Atalanta have conceded only 3 goals in their 4 games here, and Kairat have scored just 2, so the case for over 2.5 relies on Kairat's defensive record and Atalanta's league form rather than on this competition's totals alone.
Atalanta (draw no bet) — 70% confidence
Atalanta are the stronger side at home on the evidence available. They have won one and drawn one of their two home games in this competition, scoring 3 and conceding 1 there, and Kairat have a single away game here, a draw. Kairat's defence has been the weak point: 6 goals conceded in two games, and 5 of those came in the home defeat to Panathinaikos. Atalanta's domestic form (13th in Serie A, 5 defeats in 10) is a real caveat, which keeps this short of a straight winner. A draw refunds the stake under this market, so the pick depends on Atalanta winning outright rather than on a draw being avoided.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and draw no bet), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 02:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Atalanta: 4 Nov 2026, 18:50 WAT; Kairat Almaty: 4 Nov 2026, 18:50 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.