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Thu 15 Oct · 20:00

Atalanta vs Pafos prediction

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Round: League Stage - 1
Venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Referee: Adam Ladeback, Sweden

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Atalanta

38Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Pafos

46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Atalanta or Draw

BetGenius backs Atalanta or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Atalanta welcome Pafos to Bergamo for their UEFA Europa Conference League tie looking to build on an undefeated start in the league stage. The Italian side have shown tight defensive structure in Europe so far, recording a 1-0 away victory and a goalless home draw across their two competition outings. Coming off a 3-1 home domestic victory against Venezia, they will seek to maintain their momentum on home soil.

Pafos arrive also unbeaten through two European fixtures, having secured a 4-2 home victory alongside a 1-1 draw on the road. The Cypriot outfit carry confidence from a recent 3-1 away win against Anorthosis, though facing Serie A opposition at their home venue presents a considerably tougher defensive assignment.

With Atalanta keeping clean sheets in both of their European matches to date and Pafos having shared the points in their previous away trip in this tournament, a cautious approach is likely to shape proceedings in Bergamo.

Analysis

Key factors

Atalanta have kept clean sheets in both of their Conference League games, conceding zero goals.
Pafos drew their sole away match in this competition 1-1 and conceded three goals across their two tournament matches.
Atalanta enter the tie having won their most recent home fixture 3-1 against Venezia.
Pafos have shown scoring ability in the competition with five goals in two matches, but face a defence that has not breached in Europe.
Defender I. Hien is listed as an injury concern for Atalanta with a muscle bruise.

Availability

Team news

Atalanta

I. HienMuscle Bruise

Pafos

Team news unavailable for this fixture.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Atalanta at homePafos away

Played

3-0-1

W-D-L

0-1-1

1.8

Scored /game

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
12	Mjallby AIFPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	+2	4
13	AjaxPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	+1	3
14	Borac Banja LukaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	+1	3
15	AtalantaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	0	3
16	SC BragaPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	-1	3
17	GentPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	-1	3
18	SC FreiburgPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	-2	3
24	FK JablonecPromotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)	2	-1	1
25	FC Midtjylland	2	-1	1
26	Aarhus	2	-1	1
27	Pafos	2	-2	1
28	Heart Of Midlothian	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	2	-2	1
30	Getafe	2	-3	1

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Atalanta: 0
Draws: 0
Pafos

Atalanta have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

2026-10-15Atalanta3-1Pafos

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Atalanta or Draw

76%

Confidence

Atalanta have avoided defeat in both of their Conference League fixtures, keeping two clean sheets and conceding zero goals across 180 minutes of European action. While Pafos have also started the competition solidly with a win and a draw, their away trip produced a 1-1 stalemate and Atalanta boast recent home form highlighted by a 3-1 win over Venezia. Backing the hosts to either win or draw covers the likelihood of a tight contest while respecting Atalanta's superior defensive record in the tournament.

Explore

Atalanta vs Pafos prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Atalanta

Pafos

Statistical comparison

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

1 published market

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