Athletic Club have maintained a reliable record on their own turf against Alaves, claiming victory in three of their last five home head-to-head encounters with only one defeat. While the hosts are managing multiple absences including Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta, Alaves have yet to win an away match in the league this campaign, recording a draw and a defeat. Backing the home side to take at least a point aligns with Alaves' traveling struggles and the historically low margin of victory in this fixture.
Athletic Club vs Alaves prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 7
- Venue
- San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao
- Referee
- Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Athletic Club or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Athletic Club welcome regional rivals Alaves to San Mames for an early-season La Liga clash. The hosts currently sit ninth in the standings with seven points from five matches, having produced a mixed start comprising two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Their home campaign has seen a high-profile 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid alongside a 1-1 draw against Elche, demonstrating their ability to compete against tough opposition on home soil despite some injury concerns in attack.
Alaves arrive in sixth position on ten points after a solid run that includes three home victories, though their away form remains an area to address. The visitors have managed one draw and one loss from their two road fixtures so far, scoring two goals and conceding three. With key attacker Lucas Boye in good form having notched four goals this term, Alaves possess an offensive threat, but facing Athletic Club away presents a considerably stiffer defensive challenge.
Historically, this fixture has tended to be tightly contested and low-scoring, with Athletic Club holding five victories to Alaves' two across their last ten meetings. With nine of those ten previous encounters remaining below the 2.5-goal threshold, another compact, tactical derby is anticipated.
Key factors
- Athletic Club have won five of the last ten meetings between the sides, with Alaves winning only two.
- Alaves are winless in their two away matches this season, having collected a single draw and one defeat.
- Nine of the previous ten head-to-head fixtures between Athletic Club and Alaves have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
- Athletic Club have already secured an emphatic 3-0 home win over Atletico Madrid this campaign.
- Both teams have key squad absences, with Athletic Club missing Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta, while Alaves are without the suspended F. Garces.
Team news
Athletic Club
- U. EgiluzKnee Injury
- G. GuruzetaKnee Injury
- O. SancetMuscle Injury
- A. LaporteRed Card
Alaves
- M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
- F. GarcesSuspended
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Athletic Club at home plus Alaves away).
Key players this season
Alaves
- M. Díaz4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 9 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification) | 9 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | -1 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 5
- Athletic Club
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Alaves
Athletic Club have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 10% went over 2.5.
- 2026-09-19Athletic Club0-0Alaves
- 2026-05-02Alaves2-4Athletic Club
- 2025-09-13Athletic Club0-1Alaves
- 2025-07-22Alaves1-0Athletic Club
- 2025-05-11Athletic Club1-0Alaves
Our record in La Liga
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.1 published market
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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

