BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao
Referee
Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Form

Recent form

Athletic Club
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · -1 goal difference

Alaves
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw

BetGenius backs Athletic Club or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Athletic Club welcome regional rivals Alaves to San Mames for an early-season La Liga clash. The hosts currently sit ninth in the standings with seven points from five matches, having produced a mixed start comprising two wins, one draw, and two defeats. Their home campaign has seen a high-profile 3-0 victory over Atletico Madrid alongside a 1-1 draw against Elche, demonstrating their ability to compete against tough opposition on home soil despite some injury concerns in attack.

Alaves arrive in sixth position on ten points after a solid run that includes three home victories, though their away form remains an area to address. The visitors have managed one draw and one loss from their two road fixtures so far, scoring two goals and conceding three. With key attacker Lucas Boye in good form having notched four goals this term, Alaves possess an offensive threat, but facing Athletic Club away presents a considerably stiffer defensive challenge.

Historically, this fixture has tended to be tightly contested and low-scoring, with Athletic Club holding five victories to Alaves' two across their last ten meetings. With nine of those ten previous encounters remaining below the 2.5-goal threshold, another compact, tactical derby is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Athletic Club have won five of the last ten meetings between the sides, with Alaves winning only two.
  2. Alaves are winless in their two away matches this season, having collected a single draw and one defeat.
  3. Nine of the previous ten head-to-head fixtures between Athletic Club and Alaves have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
  4. Athletic Club have already secured an emphatic 3-0 home win over Atletico Madrid this campaign.
  5. Both teams have key squad absences, with Athletic Club missing Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta, while Alaves are without the suspended F. Garces.
Availability

Team news

Athletic Club

  • U. EgiluzKnee Injury
  • G. GuruzetaKnee Injury
  • O. SancetMuscle Injury
  • A. LaporteRed Card

Alaves

  • M. RodriguezAnkle Injury
  • F. GarcesSuspended
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Athletic Club at homeAlaves away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
0-2-2
1.3
Scored /game
0.8
1
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.1 goals per game (Athletic Club at home plus Alaves away).

Players

Key players this season

Alaves

  • M. Díaz4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Real BetisPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+219
5Real SociedadPromotion - Europa League (League phase)9016
6SevillaPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)9-214
7Alaves10+312
8Celta Vigo9+311
9Deportivo La Coruna9+111
10Osasuna9-811
11Levante9-210
12Villarreal909
13Athletic Club8-19
14Rayo Vallecano8-59
15Getafe9-69
16Espanyol9-18
History

Head-to-head

5
Athletic Club
3
Draws
2
Alaves

Athletic Club have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.9 goals a game, only 10% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-19Athletic Club0-0Alaves
  • 2026-05-02Alaves2-4Athletic Club
  • 2025-09-13Athletic Club0-1Alaves
  • 2025-07-22Alaves1-0Athletic Club
  • 2025-05-11Athletic Club1-0Alaves
BetGenius

Our record in La Liga

73%90 won from 123 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Athletic Club or Draw
74%
Confidence

Athletic Club have maintained a reliable record on their own turf against Alaves, claiming victory in three of their last five home head-to-head encounters with only one defeat. While the hosts are managing multiple absences including Inaki Williams and Gorka Guruzeta, Alaves have yet to win an away match in the league this campaign, recording a draw and a defeat. Backing the home side to take at least a point aligns with Alaves' traveling struggles and the historically low margin of victory in this fixture.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.