Atletico-MG have suffered only one loss in 15 home league matches this season, posting nine wins and five draws while scoring 26 goals. In contrast, Coritiba have struggled defensively away from home, conceding nine goals across their last two road trips and averaging 1.9 goals conceded per away match.
However, Atletico-MG must navigate several player absences including Everson, Gustavo Scarpa, and the suspended A. Franco. Coritiba also showed their capability in this matchup with a 2-0 home victory in April. Backing Atletico-MG on the double chance accounts for their strong home resilience while providing coverage against the possibility of a draw given their roster adjustments.

