BetGenius
UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
21:00
Thu 5 Nov
WAT

AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction

FollowFollowFollow match
Round
League Stage - 4
Venue
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar
Referee
Damian Sylwestrzak

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Our call

Our verdict

Team Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs AZ Alkmaar Under 2.5 Goals (Team Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Juventus (7th, 7 points, goal difference +6) and AZ Alkmaar (10th, 6 points, goal difference +4) are both in the table's upper half, and the standings labels place Juventus in the 1/8-finals play-off zone and AZ in the 1/16-finals zone. Juventus have scored 9 and conceded 3 in their three European games and have two wins and a draw, while AZ have scored 6 and conceded 2 from three games with two wins and a defeat. These are small samples.

Domestically the picture is closer. AZ are 5th of 18 in the Eredivisie with 20 points from 11 games, but they have lost their last two league matches without scoring, with form LLDLW. Juventus are 7th of 20 in Serie A on 17 points from 10 games, with form WLWLD, including a 2-0 win over Napoli. Juventus also have a long injury list, with Locatelli, Thuram, Yildiz, McKennie and others unavailable, while AZ's absences are fewer, led by Hornkamp, Resink and Smit. Head-to-head data was not available for this fixture.

On balance Juventus look slightly the stronger side on recent output, while AZ's home setting and a scoring record that has been modest in the Eredivisie keep the home side in the contest. A draw or a narrow away win is the most likely shape of the result, and the market choices below reflect that rather than a clear favourite.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Juventus's European form (9 scored, 3 conceded in three games) is stronger than AZ's (6 scored, 2 conceded), but both samples are small.
  2. AZ have failed to score in their last two Eredivisie matches, losing 1-0 at Ajax and 2-0 to Twente.
  3. Juventus have 11 players listed as injured or unavailable, including Locatelli, Thuram, Yildiz and McKennie, against a much shorter list for AZ.
  4. Juventus's key player N. Woltemade has 3 goals and is not on the injury list.
  5. Both teams sit in the upper half of the league-phase table, with Juventus in the 1/8-finals play-off zone and AZ in the 1/16-finals zone.
  6. No head-to-head record was available for this fixture, so the assessment relies on current form, goal records and availability only.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

AZ Alkmaar

2W 1D 2L · Goals 8–6

5 matches, 15 Oct to 31 Oct

43
Poor
WDWLLLatest →
  • atAjax
    Eredivisie
    L0–1
  • vsTwente
    Eredivisie
    L0–2
  • atArarat-Armenia
    UEFA Europa League
    W4–0
  • atCambuur
    Eredivisie
    D2–2
  • vsHapoel Beer Sheva
    UEFA Europa League
    W2–1
Away

Juventus

2W 1D 2L · Goals 6–7

5 matches, 18 Oct to 1 Nov

55
Average
LDWLWLatest →
  • vsNapoli
    Serie A
    W2–0
  • atGenoa
    Serie A
    L0–2
  • atLecce
    Serie A
    W2–0
  • vsRennes
    UEFA Europa League
    D2–2
  • vsLazio
    Serie A
    L0–3

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Lineups & team news

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: AZ Alkmaar: UEFA Europa League (2026); Juventus: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

AZ Alkmaar at homeJuventus away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
20% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
40% (5 games)
Players

Key players this season

Juventus

  • N. Woltemade3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
4Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+69
5Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+39
6Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+77
7JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+67
8BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)3+47
9SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+27
10AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+46
11Omonia NicosiaPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+16
12LyonPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3-16
13RennesPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)3+15
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa League

61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

2 published markets

Featured
Team Total Goals
AZ Alkmaar Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

AZ are scoring about two goals per game in European matches (6 in 3) and 20 goals in 11 Eredivisie games, around 1.8 per game. They failed to score in both of their last two league matches, losing 1-0 at Ajax and 2-0 to Twente. Two or fewer goals is the more likely outcome for AZ on these numbers, though a single 4-0 or 2-1 result in the Europa League shows a higher total is possible. Juventus's injury list may also reduce their attacking output, but the team-specific case here rests on AZ's own scoring rate.

Featured
Double Chance
Juventus or Draw
64%
Confidence

Juventus have the stronger European output so far, scoring 9 and conceding 3 in three games, and they have won two of their last three Serie A matches, including a 2-0 win over Napoli. AZ have lost their last two Eredivisie games without scoring, which weakens the home side's case. The AZ home advantage and Juventus's heavy list of unavailable players keep this from being a clear win for the away side, so the double chance covers Juventus winning or drawing. Juventus's league form also includes a 3-0 defeat to Lazio, so the cover is not a certainty.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other UEFA Europa League predictions

Teams around them in the table

BenficaBayer LeverkusenBournemouthFerencvarosi TCOlympiakos PiraeusUnion St. Gilloise
All UEFA Europa League predictions →

About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 3 Nov 2026, 23:10 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: AZ Alkmaar: 5 Nov 2026, 00:05 WAT; Juventus: 3 Nov 2026, 23:10 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.