BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Referee
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Bahia
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Internacional
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Bahia or Draw

BetGenius backs Bahia or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

80%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Bahia welcome Internacional to the Arena Fonte Nova for round 25 of the Brasileiro Serie A, looking to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. Sitting in 6th place with 37 points, Bahia enter this contest on a steady five-match unbeaten run in league play, bolstered by a 2-0 away victory over Vitoria in their most recent outing. Their defensive organization at home has been a hallmark this season, conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per match across 12 home fixtures.

Internacional, by contrast, find themselves battling near the bottom of the standings in 16th place with 25 points. The visitors have struggled to convert matches into victories, drawing four of their last five league games and scoring just two goals during that span. Their away form has yielded only two wins from 11 matches, while scoring at an average of 0.9 goals per game on the road.

Squad availability further tilts the balance, with Internacional missing key figures through suspension, including Gabriel Mercado, Bruno Gomes, and Paulinho Paula, alongside goalkeeper Sergio Rochet to injury. With Bahia holding an unbeaten home record in recent head-to-head encounters against Internacional (two wins and two draws in four meetings), the hosts possess the structural and form edge.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Bahia boast strong home defensive metrics, conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game across 12 home matches.
  2. Internacional are winless in their last five matches, scoring just twice across that run while drawing four consecutive games.
  3. Internacional face significant selection absences, with Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado, and Paulinho Paula suspended, plus Sergio Rochet injured.
  4. Bahia are undefeated in their last four home head-to-head fixtures against Internacional (two wins and two draws).
Availability

Team news

Bahia

  • Leo VieiraKnee Injury
  • R. GomezYellow Cards
  • Jean LucasYellow Cards

Internacional

  • AnthoniKnee Injury
  • KaykyAnkle Injury
  • G. MaripanMuscle Injury
  • S. RochetLower Back Injury
  • Matheus CunhaRed Card
  • G. MercadoYellow Cards
  • R. VillagraYellow Cards
  • VitinhoYellow Cards
  • AllexInactive
  • A. SanabriaInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Bahia at homeInternacional away
16
Played
16
7-6-3
W-D-L
3-6-7
1.4
Scored /game
0.9
1.1
Conceded /game
1.4
31%
Clean sheets
13%
13%
Failed to score
38%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Bahia at home plus Internacional away).

Players

Key players this season

Bahia

  • Luciano Juba10G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
18GremioRelegation - Serie B31-1031
19RemoRelegation - Serie B31-1526
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B30-3218
History

Head-to-head

4
Bahia
3
Draws
3
Internacional

Bahia have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Bahia3-2Internacional
  • 2026-03-15Internacional0-1Bahia
  • 2025-11-08Internacional2-2Bahia
  • 2025-10-22Bahia1-0Internacional
  • 2025-05-28Internacional2-1Bahia
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Bahia or Draw
80%
Confidence

Bahia have lost only two of their 12 home league matches this season and are undefeated in their last five Serie A fixtures. Internacional have won just twice in 11 away games and enter this fixture without multiple regular starters due to suspension and injury, including Mercado, Gomes, Paula, and Rochet. Additionally, the head-to-head record at Bahia's home ground shows Bahia unbeaten across their last four meetings (two wins, two draws).

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.