BetGenius

Bahia vs Internacional prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 10:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Referee
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil

Recent form

Bahia
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-3D-0L · +3 goal difference

Internacional
28Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -3 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Bahia or Draw
Confidence80%

BetGenius backs Bahia or Draw (Double Chance) at 80% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Bahia welcome Internacional to the Arena Fonte Nova for round 25 of the Brasileiro Serie A, looking to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. Sitting in 6th place with 37 points, Bahia enter this contest on a steady five-match unbeaten run in league play, bolstered by a 2-0 away victory over Vitoria in their most recent outing. Their defensive organization at home has been a hallmark this season, conceding an average of just 0.9 goals per match across 12 home fixtures.

Internacional, by contrast, find themselves battling near the bottom of the standings in 16th place with 25 points. The visitors have struggled to convert matches into victories, drawing four of their last five league games and scoring just two goals during that span. Their away form has yielded only two wins from 11 matches, while scoring at an average of 0.9 goals per game on the road.

Squad availability further tilts the balance, with Internacional missing key figures through suspension, including Gabriel Mercado, Bruno Gomes, and Paulinho Paula, alongside goalkeeper Sergio Rochet to injury. With Bahia holding an unbeaten home record in recent head-to-head encounters against Internacional (two wins and two draws in four meetings), the hosts possess the structural and form edge.

Key factors

  • Bahia boast strong home defensive metrics, conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game across 12 home matches.
  • Internacional are winless in their last five matches, scoring just twice across that run while drawing four consecutive games.
  • Internacional face significant selection absences, with Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado, and Paulinho Paula suspended, plus Sergio Rochet injured.
  • Bahia are undefeated in their last four home head-to-head fixtures against Internacional (two wins and two draws).

Team news

Bahia

  • Leo VieiraKnee Injury
  • EveraldoRed Card
  • Everton RibeiroInactive

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Internacional

  • KaykyAnkle Injury
  • S. RochetLower Back Injury
  • B. ArhinHamstring Injury
  • A. BernabeiYellow Cards
  • AllexInactive

Statistical comparison

Bahia at home vs Internacional away
13
Played
12
5-6-2
W-D-L
2-5-5
1.5
Scored /game
1
1
Conceded /game
1.5
31%
Clean sheets
17%
8%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Bahia at home plus Internacional away).

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
7CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-137
8Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+236
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325
18InternacionalRelegation - Serie B26-625
19RemoRelegation - Serie B26-1323
20Chapecoense-scRelegation - Serie B25-2317

Head-to-head

Full record →
Bahia
4
Draws
3
Internacional
3

Bahia have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Bahia 3-2 Internacional
  • 2026-03-15Internacional 0-1 Bahia
  • 2025-11-08Internacional 2-2 Bahia
  • 2025-10-22Bahia 1-0 Internacional
  • 2025-05-28Internacional 2-1 Bahia

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Bahia or Draw
Confidence80%

Bahia have lost only two of their 12 home league matches this season and are undefeated in their last five Serie A fixtures. Internacional have won just twice in 11 away games and enter this fixture without multiple regular starters due to suspension and injury, including Mercado, Gomes, Paula, and Rochet. Additionally, the head-to-head record at Bahia's home ground shows Bahia unbeaten across their last four meetings (two wins, two draws).

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.