BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 23
Venue
Lokomotiv Stadium, Baranovichi
Form

Recent form

Baranovichi
62Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

FC Gomel
62Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
FC Gomel or Draw

BetGenius backs FC Gomel or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

FC Gomel travel to face Baranovichi in round 23 of the Premier League sitting fifth in the table with 36 points from 22 matches. The visitors arrive with one of the most reliable defensive units in the division, having conceded just 18 goals all season and recorded nine clean sheets.

Baranovichi occupy 11th position on 25 points and enter the contest in solid form after putting together a four-match unbeaten streak. That run included wins against Dinamo Minsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev alongside draws with Dinamo Brest and Arsenal, though defensive stability remains an issue having shipped 20 goals in 11 home games.

The previous encounter between the two sides in May 2026 produced an entertaining 3-2 victory for Baranovichi on the road. Gomel have proved resilient away from home throughout the campaign, losing only three of their 11 road trips while allowing just 0.8 goals per game.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. FC Gomel sit fifth in the standings with 36 points and boast the league's joint-best defense with 18 goals conceded in 22 games.
  2. Gomel have avoided defeat in eight of their 11 away matches this season, posting four wins, four draws, and five clean sheets.
  3. Baranovichi have conceded 20 goals across 11 home matches, averaging 1.8 goals allowed per game at their home venue.
  4. Baranovichi enter the fixture on a four-game unbeaten run with two wins and two draws in recent league action.
  5. The earlier meeting between the sides in May 2026 resulted in a 3-2 away victory for Baranovichi.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Baranovichi at homeFC Gomel away
11
Played
11
3-4-4
W-D-L
4-4-3
1.5
Scored /game
1
1.8
Conceded /game
0.8
9%
Clean sheets
45%
9%
Failed to score
27%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Baranovichi at home plus FC Gomel away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4Dinamo Brest25+1644
5Neman25+1043
6FC Vitebsk25+840
7FC Gomel25+1140
8FC Minsk26-334
9Torpedo Zhodino25-133
10Slavia Mozyr25-428
11Baranovichi26-1628
12Arsenal25-2023
13Bate Borisov25-1321
14BelshinaVysshaya Liga (Relegation)24-1921
History

Head-to-head

1
Baranovichi
0
Draws
3
FC Gomel

FC Gomel have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 4.5 goals a game, 75% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-09-20Baranovichi0-2FC Gomel
  • 2026-05-14FC Gomel2-3Baranovichi
  • 2016-09-10Baranovichi0-6FC Gomel
  • 2016-05-15FC Gomel4-1Baranovichi
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

55%33 won from 60 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
FC Gomel or Draw
72%
Confidence

FC Gomel hold a substantial defensive advantage in this matchup, having conceded only 18 goals in 22 league fixtures compared to Baranovichi's 36 goals allowed. On their travels, Gomel have avoided defeat in eight of 11 matches while registering five clean sheets and conceding just nine times. Although Baranovichi are unbeaten across their last four league matches, their home defensive record of 1.8 goals conceded per game gives Gomel a clear pathway to secure at least a point.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.