BetGenius
Round
3rd Round
Form

Recent form

Boluspor
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -7 goal difference

Karsiyaka
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Boluspor host Karsiyaka at Bolu Atatürk Stadium in the third round of the Turkish Cup, with the two sides entering the tie on contrasting trajectories of recent form. The hosts have struggled for attacking rhythm, losing four of their last five competitive fixtures and netting just one goal across that span.

In contrast, Karsiyaka arrive in confident form, having put together a five-match unbeaten run featuring four victories and one draw. Their recent defensive solidity has been a foundation, with three clean sheets recorded across those five fixtures alongside a 3-1 win in their previous cup encounter.

With Boluspor experiencing significant difficulties in front of goal and Karsiyaka displaying stubborn organisation at the back, this cup tie shapes up as a tightly contested encounter where scoring opportunities could be limited.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Boluspor have failed to score in four of their last five matches, managing only one goal across that sequence.
  2. Karsiyaka are unbeaten in five matches across all competitions, recording four wins and one draw.
  3. Karsiyaka have kept clean sheets in three of their last five fixtures, conceding only two goals in total.
  4. Boluspor have suffered four defeats in their past five games, including consecutive losses against Vanspor FK and Igdir FK.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Boluspor at homeKarsiyaka away
—
Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
0%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

3
Boluspor
4
Draws
3
Karsiyaka

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2016-02-15Karsiyaka1-1Boluspor
  • 2015-09-12Boluspor1-1Karsiyaka
  • 2015-05-10Karsiyaka0-5Boluspor
  • 2014-12-28Boluspor0-0Karsiyaka
  • 2014-03-29Boluspor1-4Karsiyaka
BetGenius

Our record in Turkish Cup

59%50 won from 85 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Boluspor have suffered acute issues in attack, failing to score in four of their last five matches and registering only a single goal over that period. Karsiyaka have conceded only two goals across their past five games, recording three clean sheets. With the hosts struggling to create and convert chances, a low-scoring contest under the 2.5 goal mark is well supported by the evidence.

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Karsiyaka or Draw
64%
Confidence

Karsiyaka hold strong momentum heading into this knockout clash, having won four and drawn one of their last five matches. Boluspor have faltered with four defeats in their previous five outings, including home losses to Vanspor FK and Antalyaspor. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both a Karsiyaka win and the draw.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Karsiyaka or Draw
64%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Boluspor have suffered acute issues in attack, failing to score in four of their last five matches and registering only a single goal over that period. Karsiyaka have conceded only two goals across their past five games, recording three clean sheets. With the hosts struggling to create and convert chances, a low-scoring contest under the 2.5 goal mark is well supported by the evidence.

Karsiyaka or Draw — 64% confidence

Karsiyaka hold strong momentum heading into this knockout clash, having won four and drawn one of their last five matches. Boluspor have faltered with four defeats in their previous five outings, including home losses to Vanspor FK and Antalyaspor. Backing the visitors to avoid defeat covers both a Karsiyaka win and the draw.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.