BetGenius

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Mon, Aug 24, 11:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento, Brazil

Recent form

Botafogo
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -9 goal difference

Atletico Paranaense
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Atletico Paranaense or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Botafogo host Atletico Paranaense in round 23 action of Serie A at the Nilton Santos. The home side sits 11th in the table with 30 points from 22 matches and is seeking consistency after winning only one of their previous four recorded fixtures. Their attacking options are hindered by the suspension of joint-top scorer Arthur Cabral following a red card, leaving Danilo Santos to shoulder the scoring burden.

Atletico Paranaense enter the encounter in 3rd place with 41 points and are firmly in the Copa Libertadores group stage qualification zone. Boasting a stout defensive record with only 20 goals conceded across 23 league fixtures and 8 clean sheets, the visitors also feature striker K. Viveros, who has already netted 14 goals this season.

Recent historical meetings between the two clubs show tightly contested, low-scoring encounters, with 70% of the last 10 head-to-head matches staying under 2.5 goals. With Botafogo missing key personnel in attack and Atletico Paranaense demonstrating defensive stability across the campaign, the visitors are well positioned to take at least a point.

Key factors

  • Atletico Paranaense hold 3rd place with 41 points and have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 league matches.
  • Botafogo top scorer Arthur Cabral (7 goals) is suspended following a red card.
  • Atletico Paranaense forward K. Viveros is in prime form with 14 league goals scored.
  • 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Botafogo and Atletico Paranaense finished under 2.5 goals.

Team news

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraInjury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoInjury

Atletico Paranaense

  • ClaudinhoMuscle Injury
  • L. EsquivelAnkle Injury
  • Leo DerikThigh Injury
  • GilbertoAnkle Injury
  • G. BenavidezYellow Cards

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at home vs Atletico Paranaense away
11
Played
12
4-4-3
W-D-L
5-2-5
1.8
Scored /game
1.2
1.5
Conceded /game
1.3
18%
Clean sheets
25%
18%
Failed to score
33%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Atletico Paranaense away).

Key players this season

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros17G
  • G. Benavídez5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
11VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-1232
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325

Head-to-head

Full record →
Botafogo
3
Draws
2
Atletico Paranaense
5

Atletico Paranaense have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-29Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo
  • 2024-10-05Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Botafogo
  • 2024-06-19Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-10-22Botafogo 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-06-03Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Botafogo

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
Confidence68%

Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in the standings with 41 points and concede an average of just 0.9 goals per game. Botafogo will be without joint-top scorer Arthur Cabral due to suspension, and 70% of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced under 2.5 goals.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.