BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Botafogo
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Palmeiras
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

League leaders Palmeiras travel to face 12th-placed Botafogo in a Serie A encounter highlighting two teams experiencing contrasting fortunes. Palmeiras sit at the top of the table with 52 points from 25 matches, having suffered only three league defeats all season and boasting the division's tightest defensive record with just 21 goals conceded.

Botafogo find themselves in the bottom half of the standings on 30 points after losing four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their defensive record has been an issue, conceding 40 goals in 24 league fixtures, though they have been reasonably competitive at home with 20 goals scored across 11 games.

Palmeiras have also held the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, winning each of the last three meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 victory in March 2026 and a 1-0 away win in their previous league visit.

Availability

Team news

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraAnkle Injury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • Arthur ChavesInactive
  • L. MonzonInactive

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • Andreas PereiraRed Card
  • J. PiquerezYellow Cards
  • Vitor RoqueInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at homePalmeiras away
16
Played
16
6-6-4
W-D-L
8-6-2
1.6
Scored /game
1.6
1.4
Conceded /game
0.8
25%
Clean sheets
50%
19%
Failed to score
19%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.2 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Palmeiras away).

Players

Key players this season

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos10G

Palmeiras

  • Andreas PereiraSuspended10A
  • J. López5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
History

Head-to-head

3
Botafogo
3
Draws
4
Palmeiras

Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-06Botafogo0-0Palmeiras
  • 2026-03-18Palmeiras2-1Botafogo
  • 2025-08-17Botafogo0-1Palmeiras
  • 2025-06-28Palmeiras1-0Botafogo
  • 2025-03-30Palmeiras0-0Botafogo
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw
64%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence

Palmeiras boast an exceptional defensive structure on the road, conceding just 12 goals in 13 away fixtures for an average of 0.9 per game while keeping five clean sheets. Additionally, their recent away outings include tight scorelines such as 0-0 at Santos and 1-1 at Mirassol, and the last three head-to-head matches between these two clubs have produced two or fewer goals twice.

Palmeiras or Draw — 78% confidence

Palmeiras enter this fixture in commanding league form, holding top spot with only two defeats in 13 away matches where they have accumulated seven victories and four draws. In contrast, Botafogo have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions and face an opponent that has defeated them in their last three direct meetings.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Palmeiras or Draw
78%
Confidence

Palmeiras enter this fixture in commanding league form, holding top spot with only two defeats in 13 away matches where they have accumulated seven victories and four draws. In contrast, Botafogo have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions and face an opponent that has defeated them in their last three direct meetings.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
Confidence

Palmeiras boast an exceptional defensive structure on the road, conceding just 12 goals in 13 away fixtures for an average of 0.9 per game while keeping five clean sheets. Additionally, their recent away outings include tight scorelines such as 0-0 at Santos and 1-1 at Mirassol, and the last three head-to-head matches between these two clubs have produced two or fewer goals twice.

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Published September 5, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.