BetGenius

Botafogo vs Palmeiras prediction

Checking status…
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 09:30 PM
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil

Recent form

Botafogo
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -9 goal difference

Palmeiras
73Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +7 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw
Confidence64%

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

Match preview

League leaders Palmeiras travel to face 12th-placed Botafogo in a Serie A encounter highlighting two teams experiencing contrasting fortunes. Palmeiras sit at the top of the table with 52 points from 25 matches, having suffered only three league defeats all season and boasting the division's tightest defensive record with just 21 goals conceded.

Botafogo find themselves in the bottom half of the standings on 30 points after losing four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their defensive record has been an issue, conceding 40 goals in 24 league fixtures, though they have been reasonably competitive at home with 20 goals scored across 11 games.

Palmeiras have also held the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, winning each of the last three meetings between the sides, including a 2-1 victory in March 2026 and a 1-0 away win in their previous league visit.

Team news

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraInjury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoInjury

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoMuscle Injury
  • R. SosaMuscle Injury
  • Arthur GabrielRed Card

Statistical comparison

Botafogo at home vs Palmeiras away
11
Played
13
4-4-3
W-D-L
7-4-2
1.8
Scored /game
1.8
1.5
Conceded /game
0.9
18%
Clean sheets
38%
18%
Failed to score
8%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Botafogo at home plus Palmeiras away).

Key players this season

Palmeiras

  • J. López8G · 4A
  • Andreas Pereira10A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
11VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-1232
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325

Head-to-head

Full record →
Botafogo
3
Draws
3
Palmeiras
4

Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-09-06Botafogo 0-0 Palmeiras
  • 2026-03-18Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo
  • 2025-08-17Botafogo 0-1 Palmeiras
  • 2025-06-28Palmeiras 1-0 Botafogo
  • 2025-03-30Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Market
Combo Bet
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals + Palmeiras or Draw
Confidence64%

Under 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence

Palmeiras boast an exceptional defensive structure on the road, conceding just 12 goals in 13 away fixtures for an average of 0.9 per game while keeping five clean sheets. Additionally, their recent away outings include tight scorelines such as 0-0 at Santos and 1-1 at Mirassol, and the last three head-to-head matches between these two clubs have produced two or fewer goals twice.

Palmeiras or Draw — 78% confidence

Palmeiras enter this fixture in commanding league form, holding top spot with only two defeats in 13 away matches where they have accumulated seven victories and four draws. In contrast, Botafogo have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions and face an opponent that has defeated them in their last three direct meetings.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Palmeiras or Draw
Confidence78%

Palmeiras enter this fixture in commanding league form, holding top spot with only two defeats in 13 away matches where they have accumulated seven victories and four draws. In contrast, Botafogo have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions and face an opponent that has defeated them in their last three direct meetings.

Combo BetWON
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence64%

Palmeiras boast an exceptional defensive structure on the road, conceding just 12 goals in 13 away fixtures for an average of 0.9 per game while keeping five clean sheets. Additionally, their recent away outings include tight scorelines such as 0-0 at Santos and 1-1 at Mirassol, and the last three head-to-head matches between these two clubs have produced two or fewer goals twice.

More from BetGenius

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Published September 5, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.