BetGenius

Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction

Checking status…
ChampionshipChampionship
Kickoff
Wed, Sep 2, 07:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley
Referee
Matt Donohue, England

Recent form

Burnley
23Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -6 goal difference

Middlesbrough
72Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Middlesbrough or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Burnley welcome Middlesbrough to Turf Moor looking to secure their first league victory of the campaign. The Clarets sit in 22nd place with one point from their opening three Championship fixtures, having conceded nine goals during that span, including heavy away defeats against Norwich and West Brom.

Middlesbrough travel with momentum, currently occupying 5th spot in the standings after taking six points from their first three matches. Led in attack by W. Lankshear, who has scored four goals already this season, the visitors have netted six times in league action.

With Burnley dealing with several absences and defensive issues, Middlesbrough will aim to exploit the hosts' vulnerable backline and maintain their position near the top of the table.

Key factors

  • Burnley have conceded nine goals across their first three league matches, averaging three goals conceded per game.
  • Middlesbrough forward W. Lankshear has scored four goals in three league appearances this season.
  • Burnley are winless in the Championship with one draw and two losses, sitting in 22nd position.
  • Burnley enter the fixture missing multiple players through injury and suspension, including J. Laurent, J. Beyer, and J. Cullen.
  • Middlesbrough have won two of their opening three league fixtures, scoring six goals in total.

Team news

Burnley

  • E. AgyeiInjury
  • J. BanelInjury
  • A. BarnesInjury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • D. SatpaevHamstring Injury
  • L. FosterInactive
  • B. HumphreysInactive
  • Lucas PiresInactive

Middlesbrough

  • J. SarmientoInactive

Team news last updated Sep 5 (4 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Statistical comparison

Burnley at home vs Middlesbrough away
3
Played
1
0-2-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
1.3
Scored /game
—
1.7
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Key players this season

Middlesbrough

  • W. Lankshear5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1West HamPromotion - Premier League6+511
2SwanseaPromotion - Premier League6+411
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
4QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)5+310
5Bristol CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
6West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+210
20Cardiff6-34
21Derby5-54
22BoltonRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Burnley
4
Draws
4
Middlesbrough
2

Burnley have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2024-12-29Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
  • 2024-12-06Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-04-07Middlesbrough 1-2 Burnley
  • 2022-12-17Burnley 3-1 Middlesbrough
  • 2017-04-08Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley

Our record in Championship

63%52 won from 82 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Middlesbrough or Draw
Confidence74%

Middlesbrough have enjoyed a productive start to the season with two wins from three Championship matches, scoring six goals and averaging two goals per game. In contrast, Burnley have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals across three fixtures for an average of three goals against per match.

Burnley's difficulties are compounded by multiple squad absences, including J. Laurent serving a suspension and fitness issues for players such as J. Beyer and J. Cullen. Given Middlesbrough's attacking output and Burnley's defensive struggles, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

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Published August 31, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.