Burnley

Wrexham or Draw — 76% confidence

Wrexham have been competitive throughout their early schedule, losing only one of their last five matches and boasting a positive goal difference. In contrast, Burnley enter this fixture winless in the league, sitting 24th with two draws and three defeats. Burnley have lost both of their away league fixtures, conceding 3.5 goals per match on the road, giving the hosts a significant platform to earn at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Burnley's league fixtures have averaged 3.6 total goals per game, driven by a leaky defence that has conceded 12 times in five matches without keeping a clean sheet. Their two away league outings saw four and five goals scored. With Wrexham averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, the conditions favor a high-scoring encounter exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Burnley's league fixtures have averaged 3.6 total goals per game, driven by a leaky defence that has conceded 12 times in five matches without keeping a clean sheet. Their two away league outings saw four and five goals scored. With Wrexham averaging 1.5 goals scored per match, the conditions favor a high-scoring encounter exceeding the 2.5 goal line.

Wrexham have been competitive throughout their early schedule, losing only one of their last five matches and boasting a positive goal difference. In contrast, Burnley enter this fixture winless in the league, sitting 24th with two draws and three defeats. Burnley have lost both of their away league fixtures, conceding 3.5 goals per match on the road, giving the hosts a significant platform to earn at least a point.

Both teams have demonstrated consistent attacking output alongside persistent defensive vulnerabilities this season. Burnley have scored four goals in their league campaign with a home average of two goals per game, but have conceded nine goals overall and have kept zero clean sheets. Bristol City have also recorded zero clean sheets across their four league matches, conceding 1.5 goals per game while generating an average of 2.5 goals per match on their travels. With both sides consistently finding the net and neither demonstrating defensive solidity, both teams scoring presents the most reliable expectation.

Middlesbrough have enjoyed a productive start to the season with two wins from three Championship matches, scoring six goals and averaging two goals per game. In contrast, Burnley have struggled defensively, conceding nine goals across three fixtures for an average of three goals against per match.

Burnley's difficulties are compounded by multiple squad absences, including J. Laurent serving a suspension and fitness issues for players such as J. Beyer and J. Cullen. Given Middlesbrough's attacking output and Burnley's defensive struggles, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

Burnley hold a substantial historical edge in this matchup, winning six of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including each of the last four fixtures between the two sides. Norwich have had a difficult start to the Championship campaign, suffering two defeats from two matches while conceding five goals and scoring only once. Backing Burnley in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage across both an away victory and a shared result.

Bradford are in solid form with four wins and a draw in their last five fixtures, keeping clean sheets in each of their last three games. Burnley are winless in their last five games and enter the cup tie missing several players through injury, making Bradford or Draw a well-supported selection.

West Brom carry strong momentum following a 2-1 opening-round victory at Norwich and five straight wins across their recent outings. Burnley enter winless in five matches and face multiple injury absences, though their tendency to secure draws in this fixture makes the double chance a well-supported selection.