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Fri 16 Oct · 20:00

Burnley vs Wolves prediction

Round
Regular Season - 11
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley
Referee
Lewis Smith
Form

Recent form

Burnley
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Wolves
49Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Wolves or Draw

BetGenius backs Wolves or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Burnley host Wolves in a Championship clash where the hosts have struggled at home, recording no wins, four draws and a single loss in their last five matches. An extensive injury list further weakens their squad, with several starters unavailable. Wolves sit in the top half of the table with 14 points from nine games and have shown better form both at home and away, despite a mixed recent run of results. Historically the two sides have produced low‑scoring affairs, with only 40% of their ten meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and a modest 40% BTTS rate. The combination of Burnley's defensive frailties, Wolves' superior league position and the low‑scoring trend suggests a cautious outlook for the match.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Wolves hold 14 points from 9 games, Burnley only 8 from 10, placing them in opposite halves of the table
  2. Burnley have not won at home in their last five fixtures (0‑4‑1)
  3. Wolves have a better recent form and a respectable away record
  4. Burnley are missing several key players through injury and inactivity
  5. Head‑to‑head meetings show low scoring, with only 40% of games going over 2.5 goals
Availability

Team news

Burnley

  • A. AhmedhodzicKnock
  • A. BarnesMuscle Injury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
  • H. MejbriHamstring Injury
  • A. RamseyHamstring Injury
  • Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
  • J. BanelMuscle Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • M. ObafemiInactive
  • S. SamboInactive
  • M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive

Wolves

  • R. GomesFoot Injury
  • R. JimenezKnee Injury
  • B. TraoreInjury
  • A. ArmstrongBack Injury
  • E. GonzalezInjury
  • T. OjinnakaInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Burnley at homeWolves away
6
Played
6
0-4-2
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.3
Scored /game
1.7
1.7
Conceded /game
1.5
0%
Clean sheets
17%
0%
Failed to score
17%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Burnley at home plus Wolves away).

Players

Key players this season

Wolves

  • Fer López5G · 3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
10Blackburn11+115
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

3
Burnley
3
Draws
4
Wolves

Wolves have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-16Burnley1-2Wolves
  • 2026-05-24Burnley1-1Wolves
  • 2025-10-26Wolves2-3Burnley
  • 2024-08-28Wolves2-0Burnley
  • 2024-04-02Burnley1-1Wolves
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%131 won from 207 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Wolves or Draw
68%
Confidence

Wolves are the clear statistical favorite, occupying a top‑ten spot with a positive goal difference, while Burnley sit near the relegation zone with a poor home record. Burnley’s numerous injuries limit their attacking options, and Wolves have a solid away performance. The head‑to‑head record is balanced but generally low‑scoring, supporting a safe bet that Wolves will avoid defeat.

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Published October 14, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.