BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Vicarage Road, Watford
Referee
Andy Madley, England
Form

Recent form

Watford
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -8 goal difference

Burnley
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Watford or Draw

BetGenius backs Watford or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Watford welcome Burnley to Vicarage Road for round nine of the Championship season, with both sides searching for positive momentum in the lower half of the table. Watford sit 20th with eight points, while Burnley occupy 24th place on four points and remain winless across their opening eight league matches.

Watford have produced their best work on home turf, winning two and drawing one of their four matches while scoring six goals. They have found the net in every home fixture so far, though defensive vulnerabilities remain evident after conceding five goals and failing to keep a clean sheet across the entire campaign. Six squad members, including J. Ngakia, E. Bove, and M. Bola, are sidelined through injury.

Burnley face severe squad depletion with ten players missing through injury, including J. Cullen, J. Beyer, and H. Mejbri. While Burnley have scored in all eight Championship fixtures, their defensive record is porous, especially on the road where they have conceded 11 goals in four matches at an average of 2.8 per game. Having lost three and drawn one away from home, securing a breakthrough win here represents a stern test for the visitors.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Burnley are winless after eight league games with four draws and four defeats.
  2. Watford have earned seven points from four home fixtures, scoring in every game at Vicarage Road.
  3. Burnley have conceded 11 goals in four away matches, averaging 2.8 goals conceded per away fixture.
  4. Neither Watford nor Burnley has recorded a clean sheet in the Championship this season.
  5. Burnley have ten players sidelined through injury, including J. Cullen, J. Beyer, and H. Mejbri.
Availability

Team news

Watford

  • T. AkomeahLacking Match Fitness
  • K. BaahKnock
  • E. BoveKnee Injury
  • J. NgakiaThigh Injury
  • M. AntonioInactive

Burnley

  • A. AhmedhodzicKnock
  • A. BarnesMuscle Injury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
  • H. MejbriHamstring Injury
  • A. RamseyHamstring Injury
  • Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
  • J. BanelMuscle Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • M. ObafemiInactive
  • S. SamboInactive
  • M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Watford at homeBurnley away
6
Played
5
3-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.3
Scored /game
1.6
1.5
Conceded /game
2.2
17%
Clean sheets
20%
17%
Failed to score
0%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.9 goals per game (Watford at home plus Burnley away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

1
Watford
3
Draws
6
Burnley

Burnley have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game.

  • 2026-10-10Watford0-4Burnley
  • 2025-04-18Watford1-2Burnley
  • 2024-12-21Burnley2-1Watford
  • 2023-02-14Burnley1-1Watford
  • 2022-08-12Watford1-0Burnley
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%131 won from 207 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Watford or Draw
74%
Confidence

Watford have collected seven of their eight points at home, posting two wins, one draw, and one defeat with six goals scored. Burnley enter this encounter without a win in eight league fixtures, holding four draws and four losses, and have struggled defensively on their travels where they have conceded 11 goals in four games. With Burnley missing ten players through injury and Watford yet to fail to score at home, the hosts hold a solid probability of securing at least a point. Neither side has registered a clean sheet this season, pointing toward an open contest with goals at both ends.

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Published October 8, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.