Watford

Yes — 63% confidence

Both Watford and Preston have failed to record a single clean sheet across their five Championship matches this season. Watford have scored in every home game played so far, averaging 1.5 goals per match at Vicarage Road, while Preston have conceded at an average rate of 2.0 goals per game overall. With both defensive records showing vulnerabilities, there is a reasonable probability of both teams finding the net.

Watford or Draw — 74% confidence

Watford are unbeaten in their two home Championship matches this season, recording a 2-1 win over Southampton and a 1-1 draw against West Ham. In contrast, Preston have lost both of their away league fixtures and have conceded ten goals across five matches overall. While five of the past ten head-to-head encounters ended level, covering both the home win and the draw aligns well with Preston's away struggles and Watford's resilience at Vicarage Road.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Watford are unbeaten in their two home Championship matches this season, recording a 2-1 win over Southampton and a 1-1 draw against West Ham. In contrast, Preston have lost both of their away league fixtures and have conceded ten goals across five matches overall. While five of the past ten head-to-head encounters ended level, covering both the home win and the draw aligns well with Preston's away struggles and Watford's resilience at Vicarage Road.

Both Watford and Preston have failed to record a single clean sheet across their five Championship matches this season. Watford have scored in every home game played so far, averaging 1.5 goals per match at Vicarage Road, while Preston have conceded at an average rate of 2.0 goals per game overall. With both defensive records showing vulnerabilities, there is a reasonable probability of both teams finding the net.

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Swansea or Draw — 76% confidence

Swansea enter this fixture undefeated in the league with two wins and a draw, conceding only a single goal in three games. Watford have drawn both of their away or neutral-style competitive tests in 90 minutes and enter with five players sidelined through injury, including M. Bola and J. Ngakia. Swansea have also taken points in four of their last five home meetings against Watford, making a home result or draw the most probable outcome.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

The historical record between these clubs heavily leans towards low totals, with seven of the last ten meetings producing under 2.5 goals and an overall average of 2.1 goals per match. Swansea have maintained clean sheets in two of their three league matches this season, including their sole home league match which ended 0-0, pointing towards another controlled, low-scoring contest.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

The historical record between these clubs heavily leans towards low totals, with seven of the last ten meetings producing under 2.5 goals and an overall average of 2.1 goals per match. Swansea have maintained clean sheets in two of their three league matches this season, including their sole home league match which ended 0-0, pointing towards another controlled, low-scoring contest.

Swansea enter this fixture undefeated in the league with two wins and a draw, conceding only a single goal in three games. Watford have drawn both of their away or neutral-style competitive tests in 90 minutes and enter with five players sidelined through injury, including M. Bola and J. Ngakia. Swansea have also taken points in four of their last five home meetings against Watford, making a home result or draw the most probable outcome.

Watford remain undefeated in league play with a win and a draw, winning their sole home Championship fixture 2-1 against Southampton. West Ham are winless in their opening two league encounters (one draw, one defeat) and have conceded an average of two goals per game in the Championship.

Both Watford and West Ham have scored in 100% of their Championship fixtures this season (three goals scored in two matches apiece). Concurrently, neither team has recorded a clean sheet in the league, with Watford conceding two goals and West Ham allowing four. Midweek matches also saw both teams find the net, indicating sustained offensive rhythm and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Watford have demonstrated steady form with two wins and a draw in their last three outings, including consecutive home victories against Crawley Town (1-0) and Southampton (2-1). Peterborough have experienced mixed fortunes on the road, suffering a 2-0 defeat at Bradford in August. Backing Watford on the double chance provides strong security for this cup tie.