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Watford
1W 0D 4L · Goals 5–13
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
24
Very poor
LLWLLLatest →
atNorwich
ChampionshipL2–3
atWolvesChampionshipL0–1
vsCharltonChampionshipW2–0
atCardiffChampionshipL1–5
vsBurnleyChampionshipL0–4
- Round
- Regular Season - 14
- Venue
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Referee
- James Bell
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Both Teams to Score
Yes
BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 56% confidence — a moderate call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
56%
Confidence
Moderate
Preview
Match preview
Watford host Lincoln in a Championship Regular Season - 14 fixture with both sides in the lower half of the table. Watford are 21st on 11 points from 13 games with a goal difference of -11, while Lincoln are 16th on 15 points with a goal difference of -9. Lincoln have the stronger recent form, with three wins from their last six games and a 3-0 loss to Birmingham as their most recent result, while Watford have won only one of their last five, a 2-0 home win over Charlton. The gap in the table and in recent results favours Lincoln, but Watford's home record (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 8 scored, 9 conceded) is not poor enough to rule them out.
The goal data points to a fairly open game rather than a tight one. Watford's home matches have produced 17 goals in six games, and Lincoln's away matches have produced 13 in six. Both sides have scored in most of their games, with Watford failing to score at home only once and Lincoln failing to score away only once. Both defences have also been leaky, with Watford conceding 1.5 per home game and Lincoln 1.2 per away game. The head-to-head record is not available in the data, so the assessment rests on form, table position and venue.
Team news is current as of kickoff. Watford are missing M. Antonio (not selected), K. Baah (knock), E. Bove (knee injury), S. Coulibaly (hamstring) and J. Ngakia (thigh). Lincoln are missing E. Wheatley (not selected), T. Darikwa (knee injury) and M. Melia (thigh injury). Watford's absences are more numerous, which adds weight to the view that Lincoln have the edge, though Watford's home venue keeps the result far from settled.
Analysis
Key factors
- Lincoln are 16th on 15 points and Watford are 21st on 11, with Lincoln ahead on goal difference by a narrower margin than the table suggests.
- Recent form favours Lincoln: three wins and a draw in their last six games, against one win in Watford's last five.
- Watford's home record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats keeps the home side competitive despite the poor run.
- Both teams have scored in most matches: Watford have scored in five of six home games and Lincoln have failed to score away only once.
- Watford have more absences (M. Antonio, K. Baah, E. Bove, S. Coulibaly, J. Ngakia) than Lincoln (E. Wheatley, T. Darikwa, M. Melia), as at 2026-11-03.
- Head-to-head data is not available for this fixture, so the assessment is based on form, table position, venue and goal averages.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Lincoln
1W 1D 3L · Goals 7–15
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
35
Poor
LLDWLLatest →
vsBirminghamChampionshipL1–3- vsBurnleyChampionshipW4–1
atMillwallChampionshipD2–2
vsWest HamChampionshipL0–6
atSheffield UtdChampionshipL0–3
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Watford · 4-2-3-1
- 1 F. Ravaglia (G)
- 23 O. Traoré (D)
- 6 M. Pollock (D)
- 4 K. Keben (D)
- 16 M. Bola (D)
- 39 E. Kayembe (M)
- 5 H. Kyprianou (M)
- 7 O. Maamma (M)
- 17 Iker Bravo (M)
- 45 S. Mavididi (M)
- 10 M. Boadu (F)
Lincoln · 3-4-2-1
- 1 G. Wickens (G)
- 4 A. Coubiș (D)
- 25 D. Elerewe (D)
- 15 S. Bradley (D)
- 33 D. Oyegoke (M)
- 26 Y. Konak (M)
- 8 T. Bayliss (M)
- 20 C. Elder (M)
- 27 C. Ogbene (M)
- 18 B. House (M)
- 34 F. Draper (F)
WatfordSubstitutes (9)
- 26D. BachmannG
- 15K. DiattaM
- 20M. DoumbiaF
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
- 29Branimir MlačićD
- 21Amin NabizadaF
- 22M. PayeroM
- 11R. VataF
- 33J. ZemuraD
LincolnSubstitutes (9)
- 17R. StreetF
- 3A. ReachM
- 19I. OlaofeF
- 22T. HamerD
- 7R. HackettM
- 46J. GauciG
- 6R. TowlerD
- 24I. VarfolomeevM
- 16D. JefferiesM
Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 20:42 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.
Watford
- K. BaahKnock
- E. BoveKnee Injury
- S. CoulibalyHamstring Injury
- J. NgakiaThigh Injury
- M. AntonioInactive
- N. ChikovaniInactive
- J. GrievesInactive
- L. KjerrumgaardInactive
- B. MlacicInactive
Lincoln
- T. DarikwaKnee Injury
- M. MeliaThigh Injury
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Watford: Championship (2026); Lincoln: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Watford at homeLincoln away
6
Played
6
3-1-2
W-D-L
3-1-2
1.3
Scored /game
1
1.5
Conceded /game
1.2
17%
Clean sheets
50%
17%
Failed to score
17%
40% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
100% (5 games)
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Watford at home plus Lincoln away).
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 14 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 14 | -18 | 7 |
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 19:00 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Away | 2.63 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.56 / 10 |
| Home | 2.81 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.73 / 10 |
| Draw | 3.40 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.29 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Away | 1.36 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 1.31 / 8 |
| Draw/Away | 1.47 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.44 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 1.53 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.45 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.0 | 1.02 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.02 / 2 |
| Under 4.75 | 1.02 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.02 / 2 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.04 · BetanoNamed quotes (3)
| 1.03 / 3 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.06 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.06 / 2 |
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.03 / 5 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.07 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.07 / 2 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.08 / 7 |
| Over 1.25 | 1.20 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.14 / 3 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.21 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.17 / 3 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.32 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.30 / 7 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.30 / 7 |
| Under 3.25 | 1.35 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.33 / 3 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.38 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.33 / 3 |
| Under 3.0 | 1.47 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.42 / 5 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.52 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.49 / 5 |
| Under 2.75 | 1.65 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.61 / 5 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.78 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.70 / 5 |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.81 / 8 |
| Over 2.5 | 2.05 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.98 / 8 |
| Under 2.25 | 2.12 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.04 / 5 |
| Over 2.75 | 2.34 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.22 / 5 |
| Under 2.0 | 2.66 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.50 / 5 |
| Over 3.0 | 2.87 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.62 / 5 |
| Under 1.75 | 2.90 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 2.88 / 3 |
| Over 3.25 | 2.97 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 2.92 / 3 |
| Under 1.5 | 3.53 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.35 / 7 |
| Over 3.5 | 3.56 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.40 / 7 |
| Over 3.75 | 4.12 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.10 / 3 |
| Under 1.25 | 4.47 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.45 / 3 |
| Over 4.0 | 5.75 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.75 / 2 |
| Over 4.25 | 6.15 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 6.15 / 2 |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 6.55 / 7 |
| Over 4.75 | 7.80 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 7.80 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 8.10 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.10 / 2 |
| Under 0.75 | 8.80 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.70 / 2 |
| Over 5.0 | 9.40 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 9.40 / 1 |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 9.50 / 5 |
| Over 5.5 | 15.00 · Bet365Named quotes (4)
| 14.00 / 4 |
| Over 6.5 | 29.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 26.00 / 3 |
| Over 7.5 | 51.00 · Bet365Named quotes (2)
| 50.50 / 2 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.71 / 7 |
| No | 2.10 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 2.02 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
64%168 won from 261 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
2 published markets
FeaturedLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
Confidence
Watford have scored in five of their six home games and Lincoln have failed to score away only once in six, so both attacks have been reliable in these venues. Watford concede 1.5 goals per home game and Lincoln concede 1.2 per away game, which means both defences leak enough to give the other side a route to goal. Watford's home matches have produced 17 goals in six games. The main risk to this pick is Watford's current absences up front and in midfield, along with Lincoln's injury list at the back, which could reduce both sides' output.
FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Lincoln or Draw
62%
Confidence
Lincoln sit above Watford in the table on 15 points to 11 and have the better recent run, with three wins and a draw in their last six games compared with Watford's one win in their last five. Lincoln's away record of three wins, one draw and two defeats is respectable, and they have kept three clean sheets on the road. Watford's home form is the main reason this is not a straight away pick: they have won three of six at home and their home record is level on goals scored and conceded. Backing Lincoln or a draw covers both the away win and the home side's most likely route to a point.
Explore
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Both teams to score: BTTS predictions · How BTTS settles · BTTS record
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
Teams around them in the table
About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 05:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Watford: 3 Nov 2026, 18:05 WAT; Lincoln: 3 Nov 2026, 18:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.