Lincoln

Bournemouth have found the back of the net in each of their last five matches, demonstrating steady offensive output even while facing demanding opposition like Manchester City and Newcastle. Lincoln have shown good away form in the competition with wins at Blackpool and Bolton, making them capable of keeping the tie competitive. Backing Bournemouth to win or draw accounts for their superior quality at home while respecting Lincoln's recent four-game unbeaten run in all competitions.

Southampton have demonstrated sharp offensive power by scoring 10 goals across their four league matches, spearheaded by C. Larin with four goals. While they have yet to secure an away victory with one draw and one defeat on the road, Lincoln have also struggled at home, recording no wins and scoring only one goal in two home fixtures. Backing Southampton to either win or draw provides a strong probabilistic position against a Lincoln side that has found goals hard to come by at home.

Blackburn or Draw — 64% confidence

Blackburn have avoided defeat in two of their three league fixtures this season, collecting four points and scoring at an average of 1.7 goals per game overall and two goals per game on the road. Lincoln have lost two of their three league matches, including their only home fixture by a 1-3 scoreline. While Blackburn manage multiple player absences, their attacking threat led by A. Guðjohnsen provides sufficient balance to compete for at least a point against a Lincoln side that has struggled for consistency at home.

Yes — 72% confidence

Both teams have found the net in all three of their Championship matches this season, failing to score in zero games. Blackburn have scored five goals and conceded five across three matches, with all three league games and each of their last five fixtures in all competitions seeing both teams score. Lincoln have scored three goals and conceded five in league action, conceding three goals in their only home league game against Portsmouth. Given the absence of a clean sheet for Blackburn and Lincoln conceding an average of three goals per game at home, both teams scoring carries strong statistical backing.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both teams have found the net in all three of their Championship matches this season, failing to score in zero games. Blackburn have scored five goals and conceded five across three matches, with all three league games and each of their last five fixtures in all competitions seeing both teams score. Lincoln have scored three goals and conceded five in league action, conceding three goals in their only home league game against Portsmouth. Given the absence of a clean sheet for Blackburn and Lincoln conceding an average of three goals per game at home, both teams scoring carries strong statistical backing.

Blackburn have avoided defeat in two of their three league fixtures this season, collecting four points and scoring at an average of 1.7 goals per game overall and two goals per game on the road. Lincoln have lost two of their three league matches, including their only home fixture by a 1-3 scoreline. While Blackburn manage multiple player absences, their attacking threat led by A. Guðjohnsen provides sufficient balance to compete for at least a point against a Lincoln side that has struggled for consistency at home.

Bolton enter this fixture unbeaten in the Championship with four points from two games, having conceded only once. In head-to-head meetings at home, Bolton have never lost to Lincoln in their last five encounters, winning four and drawing one. With Lincoln having lost both of their opening league fixtures and missing three players through injury (S. Bradley, J. Collins, and T. Darikwa), backing Bolton in the double chance market offers strong probability coverage.

Blackpool are in solid form, having won two and drawn one of their last three matches while scoring six goals in that span. In contrast, Lincoln have suffered back-to-back defeats against Portsmouth and Middlesbrough, conceding five goals, and must cope without injured players S. Bradley, J. Collins, and A. Jackson. Backing Blackpool on the double chance provides strong probabilistic cover for this knockout fixture.