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QPR
2W 1D 2L · Goals 11–9
5 matches, 9 Oct to 31 Oct
46
Average
DWLWLLatest →
atSouthampton
ChampionshipL1–4
vsSwanseaChampionshipW5–0
atBirminghamChampionshipL0–3
vsDerbyChampionshipW4–1
atWest HamChampionshipD1–1
- Round
- Regular Season - 14
- Venue
- Loftus Road, London
- Referee
- Tom Reeves
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
QPR or Draw
BetGenius backs QPR or Draw (Double Chance) at 70% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
70%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
QPR host Burnley in a Championship meeting between ninth and 22nd. QPR have 20 points from 13 games, while Burnley have 9 and sit in the relegation zone on the standings. QPR have been the stronger home side: three wins, two draws and one defeat from six, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their home results include a 5-0 win over Swansea and a 4-1 win over Derby.
Burnley have struggled on the road, with one win, one draw and four defeats from six and 15 goals conceded. Their home form has been level-pegged rather than poor, with five draws and two defeats from seven. Their most recent outings were a 0-0 draw with Portsmouth and a 4-1 defeat at Lincoln. QPR's last game was a 4-1 defeat at Southampton. Their team news is also thin: N. Madsen and A. S. Mbengue are injured, with R. Burrell and T. Lamptey not selected. Burnley's availability list is much longer, with six players injured and four unavailable, so that side's depth is a concern.
Head-to-head history favours Burnley overall, with five wins from ten meetings in the sample, QPR winning two and three draws. The most recent meeting was a 5-0 Burnley win in April 2025. The sample averages 2.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in half the meetings and both teams scoring in three of ten. Given QPR's home advantage, Burnley's away struggles and their injury problems, a home-or-draw position looks better supported than a straight home win.
Analysis
Key factors
- QPR are ninth on 20 points and have been the stronger home side this season, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded from six games.
- Burnley are 22nd on 9 points and have one win from six away games, conceding 15 goals on the road.
- Burnley have six players listed as injured and four as unavailable, while QPR have two injuries and two unavailable players.
- Head-to-head sample: Burnley have won five of ten meetings, QPR two, with three draws. The most recent meeting was a 5-0 Burnley win in April 2025.
- The head-to-head sample averages 2.5 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals in half of meetings and both teams scoring in three of ten.
- Burnley's home form has been mostly drawn, with five draws from seven, which limits how strongly a home-or-draw position can be read as a win.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Burnley
1W 2D 2L · Goals 8–8
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
36
Poor
WDLLDLatest →
vsPortsmouthChampionshipD0–0
atLincolnChampionshipL1–4
vsWolvesChampionshipL1–2
vsCharltonChampionshipD2–2
atWatfordChampionshipW4–0
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
QPR · 4-4-2
- 1 P. Charles (G)
- 2 K. Adamson (D)
- 3 J. Dunne (D)
- 5 R. Edwards (D)
- 19 D. Cirkin (D)
- 20 H. Vale (M)
- 40 J. Varane (M)
- 18 G. Kamara (M)
- 14 K. Saito (M)
- 22 R. Kone (F)
- 11 P. Smyth (F)
Burnley · 4-2-3-1
- 37 G. Coudert (G)
- 2 K. Walker (D)
- 18 H. Ekdal (D)
- 44 Igor (D)
- 23 Lucas Pires (D)
- 17 A. Hountondji (M)
- 5 R. Hatate (M)
- 10 M. Edwards (M)
- 29 J. Laurent (M)
- 19 L. Ramazani (M)
- 9 J. Vardy (F)
QPRSubstitutes (9)
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 13C. WardG
- 17K. PokuM
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 10I. ChairM
- 7K. DembéléM
- 12B. KemperD
- 26Rayan Jawad KolliF
BurnleySubstitutes (9)
- 3Max AlleyneD
- 34J. BanelF
- 24J. CullenM
- 8U. RaghouberM
- 21A. RamseyM
- 14C. RobertsD
- 22O. SonneD
- 15A. AhmedhodžićD
- 1M. WeißG
Starting XIs reported by API-Football, fetched 3 Nov 2026, 20:42 WAT. These are reported lineups, not predicted selections. Late changes may follow.
QPR
- N. MadsenInjury
- A. S. MbengueKnee Injury
- R. BurrellInactive
- T. LampteyInactive
Burnley
- Z. AmdouniAnkle Injury
- J. BeyerHamstring Injury
- J. Bruun LarsenInjury
- B. HumphreysMuscle Injury
- H. MejbriHamstring Injury
- A. BrojaInjury
- B. AmosInactive
- M. ObafemiInactive
- S. SamboInactive
- M. Tresor NdayishimiyeInactive
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: QPR: Championship (2026); Burnley: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
QPR at homeBurnley away
6
Played
6
3-2-1
W-D-L
1-1-4
2.2
Scored /game
1.5
0.8
Conceded /game
2.5
33%
Clean sheets
17%
33%
Failed to score
0%
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)
Combined scoring rate: 3.7 goals per game (QPR at home plus Burnley away).
Players
Key players this season
Burnley
- Lucas Pires4A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | West HamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals) | 14 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 14 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 14 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 14 | -18 | 5 |
History
Head-to-head
- 2
- QPR
- 3
- Draws
- 5
- Burnley
Burnley have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.
- 2025-04-26QPR0-5Burnley
- 2024-10-26Burnley0-0QPR
- 2023-04-22Burnley1-2QPR
- 2022-12-11QPR0-3Burnley
- 2016-05-02Burnley1-0QPR
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 19:00 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 · DafabetNamed quotes (5)
| 1.91 / 10 |
| Draw | 3.80 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 3.65 / 10 |
| Away | 3.93 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.77 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Away | 1.29 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.25 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 1.29 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.25 / 8 |
| Draw/Away | 1.93 · SBONamed quotes (5)
| 1.83 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Under 5.0 | 1.02 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.02 / 2 |
| Under 6.5 | 1.03 · BetanoNamed quotes (1)
| 1.03 / 1 |
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 1.05 / 3 |
| Under 4.75 | 1.07 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.07 / 2 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.07 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 1.04 / 4 |
| Over 1.25 | 1.10 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.10 / 2 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.14 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.14 / 2 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.19 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.13 / 7 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.20 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.16 / 3 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.24 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 1.22 / 7 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.28 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.25 / 3 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.30 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.28 / 3 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.35 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.30 / 3 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.47 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.40 / 7 |
| Under 3.25 | 1.51 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.48 / 4 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.57 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.52 / 4 |
| Under 3.0 | 1.72 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.60 / 6 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.78 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.73 / 8 |
| Under 2.75 | 1.88 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.84 / 5 |
| Over 2.75 | 2.00 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.87 / 5 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.18 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.07 / 8 |
| Over 3.0 | 2.36 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.17 / 6 |
| Under 2.25 | 2.50 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.40 / 4 |
| Over 3.25 | 2.69 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.41 / 4 |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.75 / 7 |
| Under 2.0 | 3.02 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.02 / 3 |
| Over 3.75 | 3.16 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.14 / 3 |
| Under 1.75 | 3.46 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.42 / 3 |
| Over 4.0 | 4.10 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.10 / 3 |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 4.10 / 7 |
| Over 4.25 | 4.42 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 4.41 / 2 |
| Under 1.25 | 5.20 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.20 / 2 |
| Over 4.5 | 5.68 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 5.00 / 7 |
| Over 4.75 | 5.90 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.90 / 2 |
| Over 5.0 | 8.10 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 8.10 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 9.00 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 9.00 / 2 |
| Over 5.5 | 11.00 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 9.30 / 6 |
| Under 0.5 | 12.00 · BetfairNamed quotes (4)
| 11.25 / 4 |
| Over 6.5 | 21.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 21.00 / 3 |
| Over 7.5 | 41.00 · Bet365Named quotes (2)
| 41.00 / 2 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 1.62 / 7 |
| No | 2.25 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 2.17 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
64%168 won from 261 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
1 published market
FeaturedWON
Double Chance
QPR or Draw
70%
Confidence
QPR have the stronger home record this season, with three wins and two draws from six and an average of 2.2 goals scored per home game. Burnley's away record is weak, with one win from six and 15 goals conceded, and their away scoring is limited to 1.5 per game. Burnley are also missing a large number of players through injury and non-selection. The win alone is less certain than the home-or-draw position, because Burnley have drawn several home games and the head-to-head sample is closely split, but the home-or-draw backing covers the scenarios the form points towards. For the total goals call, QPR's home scoring and Burnley's leaky away defence (2.5 conceded per away game) point to a game with at least three goals, while the head-to-head sample averages 2.5 goals per meeting.
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 06:25 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: QPR: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT; Burnley: 3 Nov 2026, 06:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.