BetGenius

Swansea vs Burnley prediction

Checking status…
ChampionshipChampionship
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 02:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Recent form

Swansea
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +3 goal difference

Burnley
33Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -4 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Swansea or Draw
Confidence78%

BetGenius backs Swansea or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Swansea welcome Burnley to the Swansea.com Stadium in a Championship matchup between two sides experiencing contrasting starts to the campaign. Swansea sit third in the table with eleven points from six fixtures, propelled by a remarkably disciplined defensive record on home soil where they have yet to concede a goal in three matches.

Burnley arrive in south Wales enduring a difficult start, positioned 23rd in the standings with three points and still searching for their first league victory of the season. Their defensive struggles have been particularly acute on their travels, where they have conceded eight goals across three away trips while managing a solitary point.

With Swansea keeping clean sheets in all three of their home league encounters and Burnley dealing with several squad absences across their roster, the hosts hold the upper hand in terms of momentum and defensive solidity.

Key factors

  • Swansea have kept clean sheets in all three of their home Championship matches this season.
  • Burnley are winless in six league matches, taking just one point from three away games.
  • Burnley have conceded eight goals across three away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals allowed per road match.
  • Swansea have conceded only four goals in six league outings overall, holding the third spot in the table.

Team news

Swansea

  • C. BurgessAchilles Tendon Injury
  • G. FrancoAnkle Injury
  • R. StewartInjury

Burnley

  • E. AgyeiInjury
  • J. BanelInjury
  • A. BarnesInjury
  • J. BeyerHamstring Injury
  • J. CullenKnee Injury
  • D. SatpaevHamstring Injury
  • B. HumphreysInactive
  • H. MejbriInactive

Statistical comparison

Swansea at home vs Burnley away
3
Played
3
1-2-0
W-D-L
0-1-2
0.7
Scored /game
1
0
Conceded /game
2.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.7 goals per game (Swansea at home plus Burnley away).

Key players this season

Swansea

  • Eom Ji-Sung2G · 2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1West BromPromotion - Premier League6+313
2West HamPromotion - Premier League6+511
3SwanseaPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)6+411
4QPRPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)6+311
5CharltonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)6-111
6MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)5+310
20Cardiff6-34
21Bolton6-64
22DerbyRelegation - League One6-64
23BurnleyRelegation - League One6-63
24PrestonRelegation - League One6-63

Head-to-head

Full record →
Swansea
5
Draws
0
Burnley
5

the last 10 meetings are split 5-5 with 0 drawn, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2025-03-15Swansea 0-2 Burnley
  • 2024-11-10Burnley 1-0 Swansea
  • 2023-01-02Swansea 1-2 Burnley
  • 2022-10-15Burnley 4-0 Swansea
  • 2018-02-10Swansea 1-0 Burnley

Our record in Championship

65%55 won from 85 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Swansea or Draw
Confidence78%

Swansea enter this fixture unbeaten at home in league play, having posted one win and two draws without conceding a single goal across their three home matches. Burnley have struggled for form, remaining winless through six league rounds with three draws and three defeats, alongside an average of 2.7 goals conceded per away match. Backing Swansea to win or draw covers the strong likelihood of the home side continuing their resilient defensive displays against a visiting side that has yet to win on the road.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.