BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 6
Venue
The Oval, Caernarfon
Referee
J. Walker
Form

Recent form

Caernarfon Town
71Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +9 goal difference

The New Saints
95Excellent

Last 5 matches · 5W-0D-0L · +13 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
The New Saints to win

BetGenius backs The New Saints to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Caernarfon Town host The New Saints in Cymru Premier action, with both sides positioned in the Championship Group places in the early stages of the season. The New Saints sit second in the standings with ten points from four matches, while Caernarfon Town occupy sixth spot with nine points from their opening four league fixtures.

The visitors enter the clash in exceptional defensive and offensive form, having secured three wins and one draw in the league without conceding a single goal. Caernarfon Town have also started positively with three league victories, though they suffered a 2-1 home setback against Penybont in early August.

Historical encounters between these two clubs demonstrate significant dominance for the travelling side. The New Saints have won nine of the last ten meetings across all competitions, including all four previous trips to The Oval.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. The New Saints have won nine of the last ten head-to-head encounters against Caernarfon Town, including four consecutive away wins.
  2. The New Saints have not conceded a single goal in four league matches this season, posting four consecutive clean sheets and a plus eight goal difference.
  3. The New Saints have won their last eight consecutive competitive meetings with Caernarfon Town dating back to late 2024.
  4. Caernarfon Town have already lost once at home this season, falling 2-1 against Penybont.
  5. The previous ten head-to-head fixtures have averaged 3.7 goals per game, with 70 percent producing three or more goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Caernarfon Town at homeThe New Saints away
4
Played
4
2-0-2
W-D-L
3-1-0
2.3
Scored /game
2.5
1.3
Conceded /game
0.5
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 4.8 goals per game (Caernarfon Town at home plus The New Saints away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1The New SaintsPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+4740
2GAP Connah S Quay FCPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+2131
3PenybontPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+1430
4Caernarfon TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+2429
5Colwyn BayPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)14+726
6Barry TownPromotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)13+525
7Airbus UKPromotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)14+824
History

Head-to-head

1
Caernarfon Town
0
Draws
8
The New Saints

The New Saints have won 8 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-03-27Caernarfon Town0-4The New Saints
  • 2026-02-20The New Saints2-1Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-11-28The New Saints2-0Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-11-04The New Saints3-0Caernarfon Town
  • 2025-10-07Caernarfon Town1-3The New Saints
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

64%59 won from 92 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
The New Saints to win
75%
Confidence

The New Saints present a strong multi-signal advantage heading into this fixture. They have won nine of their last ten competitive matches against Caernarfon Town, including each of their last four away visits by scorelines of 4-0, 3-1, 1-0, and 5-2. In league play this season, The New Saints have been flawless defensively, recording four clean sheets in four matches with eight goals scored. While Caernarfon Town have won three league games, their 2-1 defeat at home to Penybont reveals vulnerabilities against top-tier opposition, making an away win the most probable outcome.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.