BetGenius

Cardiff vs Norwich prediction

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Kickoff
Tue, Aug 25, 06:00 PM
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
J. Bell

Recent form

Cardiff
21Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -4 goal difference

Norwich
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cardiff or Draw
Confidence74%

BetGenius backs Cardiff or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Cardiff host Norwich in the Round of 64 of the EFL Cup, with both sides looking to progress in knockout competition. The hosts enter this fixture in steady form, remaining unbeaten across their last five fixtures across all competitions with three victories and two draws, including a 3-2 home win over Swindon Town in their previous cup encounter.

Norwich, by contrast, have experienced a tougher run of recent results. Despite an emphatic 4-1 victory over Milton Keynes Dons earlier in the cup, the Canaries have suffered consecutive defeats leading into this match, falling 1-2 to West Brom and 3-0 away to Millwall.

Head-to-head encounters between these two clubs have historically produced plenty of goalmouth action, averaging 3.3 goals per game across their past 10 meetings, with 60% featuring over 2.5 goals. Given Cardiff's resilient home momentum and Norwich's recent struggles on the road, the hosts hold the upper hand.

Key factors

  • Cardiff are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (3 wins, 2 draws).
  • Norwich have lost their last two consecutive matches, conceding five goals while scoring only one.
  • Both teams won their previous EFL Cup ties with high-scoring performances: Cardiff won 3-2 against Swindon Town and Norwich won 4-1 against Milton Keynes Dons.
  • The last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the sides have averaged 3.3 goals per match, with 60% seeing over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams face multiple injury absences, with Cardiff missing C. Chambers, W. Fish, D. Lawlor, and G. Osho, while Norwich are without A. Ahmed, A. Crnac, L. Gibbs, L. Mahovo, and J. Makama.

Team news

Cardiff

  • C. ChambersKnee Injury
  • W. FishHernia
  • D. LawlorMuscle Injury

Norwich

  • A. AhmedKnee Injury
  • L. MahovoAnkle Injury
  • M. TopicKnee Injury
  • J. MakamaFoot Injury

Statistical comparison

Cardiff at home vs Norwich away
2
Played
3
0-2-0
W-D-L
1-0-2
Scored /game
1
Conceded /game
1.7
Clean sheets
Failed to score
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Key players this season

Cardiff

  • Y. Salech3G · 1A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Head-to-head

Full record →
Cardiff
3
Draws
0
Norwich
7

Norwich have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2025-05-03Norwich 4-2 Cardiff
  • 2024-11-02Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
  • 2024-02-17Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
  • 2023-11-11Cardiff 2-3 Norwich
  • 2023-02-25Norwich 2-0 Cardiff

Our record in EFL Cup

69%22 won from 32 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Cardiff or Draw
Confidence74%

Cardiff have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, scoring in all of them. In contrast, Norwich enter off back-to-back losses, conceding five goals across those two matches. Given the cup knockout context and historical high-scoring tendencies (averaging 3.3 goals per game over the last 10 head-to-head fixtures), Cardiff Double Chance offers a well-hedged, probabilistic position.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.