Norwich

Norwich have failed to keep a clean sheet in all 5 Championship fixtures this season, conceding at an average rate of 1.6 goals per game. At the same time, their attack has been effective at home, averaging 2.5 goals scored per match. Birmingham have scored in each of their 4 league matches and have conceded in 3 of those 4. In addition, 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score, making a goal for each team the most probable outcome.

Subscribe to unlock this tip and full reasoning.

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams have struggled for defensive solidity, with neither side registering a clean sheet in the Championship this season. Stoke have scored in all three of their league matches despite losing each one, while Norwich scored four against Burnley in their previous outing, making goals at both ends a likely outcome.

Norwich or Draw — 74% confidence

Norwich hold a dominant record in recent head-to-head meetings, avoiding defeat in nine of the last ten clashes against Stoke, including an unbeaten run of two wins and three draws across their last five visits to Stoke. Stoke have lost all three of their Championship fixtures so far, conceding nine goals in the process, which gives the visitors a strong probability of taking at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Norwich hold a dominant record in recent head-to-head meetings, avoiding defeat in nine of the last ten clashes against Stoke, including an unbeaten run of two wins and three draws across their last five visits to Stoke. Stoke have lost all three of their Championship fixtures so far, conceding nine goals in the process, which gives the visitors a strong probability of taking at least a point.

Both teams have struggled for defensive solidity, with neither side registering a clean sheet in the Championship this season. Stoke have scored in all three of their league matches despite losing each one, while Norwich scored four against Burnley in their previous outing, making goals at both ends a likely outcome.

Burnley hold a substantial historical edge in this matchup, winning six of the last nine head-to-head meetings, including each of the last four fixtures between the two sides. Norwich have had a difficult start to the Championship campaign, suffering two defeats from two matches while conceding five goals and scoring only once. Backing Burnley in the Double Chance market provides robust coverage across both an away victory and a shared result.

Cardiff have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, scoring in all of them. In contrast, Norwich enter off back-to-back losses, conceding five goals across those two matches. Given the cup knockout context and historical high-scoring tendencies (averaging 3.3 goals per game over the last 10 head-to-head fixtures), Cardiff Double Chance offers a well-hedged, probabilistic position.