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Celta Vigo vs Malaga prediction

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Sun, Sep 13, 12:00 PM

Recent form

Celta Vigo
35Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -3 goal difference

Malaga
31Poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-3D-2L · -6 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence76%

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Malaga at the Abanca-Balaidos in a meeting between two sides seeking their first victory of the La Liga campaign. Celta currently sit in 16th place with three points from five matches, having recorded three draws and two losses. Their offensive output has been limited, producing just two goals across five games while averaging 0.4 goals scored per match.

Malaga occupy 18th place inside the relegation zone with two points from four fixtures. Their away record is particularly concerning, having suffered two defeats from two outings without finding the net, conceding six goals in the process. The visitors also face significant squad depletion, with six players sidelined through injury.

Given the low scoring averages of both sides and Malaga's struggles to generate threat on their travels, a closely fought, low-scoring encounter is expected where Celta's home advantage gives them a steady edge.

Key factors

  • Celta Vigo have scored only 2 goals across their 5 league matches this season.
  • Malaga have failed to score in both of their away matches, suffering two defeats and conceding 6 goals.
  • Malaga are missing six players due to injury: F. Calero, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo, A. Ochoa, and A. Nino.
  • Both teams have failed to score in 3 separate matches each this campaign.
  • Only 2 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between these teams saw both sides find the net.

Team news

Celta Vigo

  • A. FebasRibs Injury

Malaga

  • F. CaleroRibs Injury
  • M. DiarraCalf Injury
  • J. LobeteKnee Injury
  • D. MurilloInjury
  • A. OchoaKnee Injury
  • A. NinoInjury

Statistical comparison

Celta Vigo at home vs Malaga away
2
Played
2
0-0-2
W-D-L
0-0-2
Scored /game
Conceded /game
Clean sheets
Failed to score
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
13Racing Santander4-14
14Rayo Vallecano4-34
15Getafe4-34
16Celta Vigo5-33
17Villarreal4-22
18MalagaRelegation4-62
19ElcheRelegation4-71
20ValenciaRelegation4-81

Head-to-head

Full record →
Celta Vigo
4
Draws
1
Malaga
5

Malaga have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2018-03-18Celta Vigo 0-0 Malaga
  • 2017-10-29Malaga 2-1 Celta Vigo
  • 2017-05-07Malaga 3-0 Celta Vigo
  • 2017-01-08Celta Vigo 3-1 Malaga
  • 2016-05-08Celta Vigo 1-0 Malaga

Our record in La Liga

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

3 published markets

Featured
Market
Total Goals
Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence76%

Both teams have struggled to produce goals in the early stages of the season. Celta Vigo have scored just twice in five league matches, averaging 0.4 goals per game, and failed to score in three of those fixtures. Malaga have managed only a single goal in four matches and have yet to score away from home. Historical head-to-head data also indicates lower scoring outcomes, with 60 percent of their previous ten meetings staying under 2.5 goals.

Featured
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Celta Vigo or Draw
Confidence74%

While Celta Vigo have lost their first two home matches against Athletic Club and Osasuna, they face a Malaga side that has lost both away games without scoring. Malaga also contend with an extensive injury list that includes F. Calero, M. Diarra, J. Lobete, D. Murillo, A. Ochoa, and A. Nino. Covering the home win alongside the draw offers a solid reading of the contest.

Featured
Market
Both Teams to Score
Pick
No
Confidence68%

Malaga have failed to score in three of their four matches overall and in both away fixtures. Celta Vigo have also failed to find the net in three of their five league games. Furthermore, only 20 percent of the past ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs have seen both teams score.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.