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Celta Vigo
2W 1D 2L · Goals 5–7
5 matches, 15 Oct to 31 Oct
45
Average
LWWDLLatest →
atRayo Vallecano
La LigaL0–3
vsReal BetisLa LigaD0–0
atCeltic
UEFA Europa LeagueW2–1
vsAlavesLa LigaW2–1
vsJuventusUEFA Europa LeagueL1–2
21:00
Thu 5 Nov
WAT
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise prediction
- Round
- League Stage - 4
- Venue
- Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
- Referee
- Aliyar Agayev
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Union St. Gilloise or Draw
BetGenius backs Union St. Gilloise or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise travel to Celta Vigo in matchday four of the Europa League league phase, with Union sixth on seven points and Celta 25th on three. Union are the stronger side on the evidence: they have won two and drawn one of their three European games without defeat, have scored 8 and conceded 1 in those matches, and sit second of 18 in the Belgian league on 26 points from ten games. Their last five across all competitions read W, W, W, W, D.
Celta are 10th of 20 in La Liga on 12 points from 11, with recent results of L, D, W, W, L. In Europe they have scored one goal per game and conceded 1.3, and their only home game this season was a 2-1 defeat to Juventus. The digest lists seven Celta players as injured and seven Union players as unavailable, so neither side has a clear selection edge from absences. The head-to-head record is not available in this data.
The straight win for Union is the most likely single outcome, but the margin is not wide enough to back it on its own. Covering Union's win or a draw gives a stronger and more defensible position, while the total-goals call is close to even given the mix of Union's scoring and Celta's leaky defence.
Analysis
Key factors
- Union St. Gilloise are second of 18 in the Belgian league (8 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats from 10) against Celta's 10th of 20 in La Liga.
- Union have conceded 0.3 goals per Europa League game; Celta have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.0.
- Union are sixth in the league phase with seven points and a goal difference of plus seven; Celta are 25th on three points with a goal difference of minus one.
- Union's three European matches have produced no defeats (two wins and a draw), while Celta lost their most recent home game 1-2 to Juventus.
- Both squads report similar numbers of unavailable players (seven each), so absences do not clearly favour either side.
- No head-to-head record is available in the data for this fixture.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Union St. Gilloise
4W 1D 0L · Goals 15–4
5 matches, 15 Oct to 31 Oct
91
Excellent
DWWWWLatest →
atSK Beveren
Jupiler Pro LeagueW2–1
vsCercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueW5–2
vsHapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Europa LeagueW4–0
vsNijlen
CupW3–0
vsReal SociedadUEFA Europa LeagueD1–1
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.
Celta Vigo
- H. F. Cuenca MartinezMuscle Injury
- J. El AbdellaouiKnee Injury
- B. IglesiasCalf Injury
- A. NunezGroin Injury
- M. RomanKnee Injury
- C. StarfeltMuscle Injury
- H. GonzalezInjury
Union St. Gilloise
- A. Ait El HadjOff the roster
- M. BiondicKnee Injury
- I. HurteventKnock
- O. KricfalusiKnock
- K. Mac AllisterKnee Injury
- I. PavlicOff the roster
- R. SchoofsKnock
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Celta Vigo: UEFA Europa League (2026); Union St. Gilloise: UEFA Europa League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Celta Vigo at homeUnion St. Gilloise away
1
Played
1
0-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
60% (5 games)
80% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TCPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos PiraeusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. GilloisePromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +7 | 7 |
| 7 | JuventusPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | BeşiktaşPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | SunderlandPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 22 | AnderlechtPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 HoffenheimPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 | AC MilanPromotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals) | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | -3 | 3 |
Prices
Bookmaker odds comparison
Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.
BetGenius
Our record in UEFA Europa League
61%62 won from 102 settled predictions (1 void)
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
1 published market
Featured
Double Chance
Union St. Gilloise or Draw
72%
Confidence
Union St. Gilloise have lost none of their three Europa League matches and none of their ten Belgian league games this season, and they are unbeaten in their last five across all competitions. Their Europa League attack has averaged 2.7 goals per game and their defence has conceded 0.3. Celta have conceded 1.3 per game in Europe, have scored one per game, and sit 25th of 36 on three points with a goal difference of minus one. The win alone is the more likely result, but Celta's 10th place in La Liga and a home side's ability to produce a 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline keep the draw a realistic outcome, so the position is priced as a win-or-draw rather than a straight win. The total-goals call leans slightly to over 2.5: Union's attacking output is high, Celta concede more than they score, and the two sides' recent European totals average around 2.5 to 3 goals, but the margin is small.
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- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
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About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 3 Nov 2026, 23:55 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Celta Vigo: 3 Nov 2026, 23:55 WAT; Union St. Gilloise: 3 Nov 2026, 23:55 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 12:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.