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Charlton
0W 2D 3L · Goals 4–11
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
16
Very poor
DDLLLLatest →
atMiddlesbrough
ChampionshipL0–3
vsNorwichChampionshipL1–3
atWatfordChampionshipL0–2
atBurnleyChampionshipD2–2
vsBristol CityChampionshipD1–1
- Round
- Regular Season - 14
- Venue
- The Valley, London
- Referee
- Steve Martin
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Charlton or Draw
BetGenius backs Charlton or Draw (Double Chance) at 60% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
60%
Confidence
Solid
Preview
Match preview
Charlton host Bolton in a Championship match between two sides level on 14 points, with Charlton 20th of 24 and Bolton 19th, and only eight points separating the teams from Lincoln at 16th and Burnley in the relegation zone. Neither side has been in good form. Charlton have won once in their last five, a 1-1 draw with Bristol City, and lost their most recent match 3-0 at Middlesbrough. Bolton's last five contain three defeats, including a 5-1 home loss to Middlesbrough, and their home record this season is 2 wins and 5 defeats from 7.
The venue points slightly towards Charlton. They have won 2 and drawn 3 of their 6 home games, while Bolton's away results (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats) have been better than their home ones. Both squads carry injury lists. Charlton are without R. Apter, C. Sichenje and M. Godden, and Bolton without E. Erhahon, R. Hardie and J. McAtee, with J. Nelson also unavailable. These lists are dated to the day of the match.
Goals look likely. The last ten meetings averaged 3.3 goals, 70% finished over 2.5 and 80% had both teams scoring. The most recent meeting was a 2-1 Charlton win at Bolton in League One in January 2025. Both teams are scoring and conceding regularly this season, so the total-goals angle carries more weight than either side's chances of winning outright.
Analysis
Key factors
- Charlton have a better home record this season (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat) than Bolton's away record would suggest they can match, and they have conceded only 5 goals in 6 home games.
- Bolton's home form is poor: 2 wins and 5 defeats from 7 games, with 15 goals conceded at home.
- Both teams are 14 points from 13 games and sit close together in the table, so the margin between them is small.
- The last ten meetings averaged 3.3 goals, with 70% going over 2.5 and 80% seeing both teams score.
- Injury lists are sizeable for both sides: Charlton have three players out and Bolton have three injured plus J. Nelson unavailable, as of the day of the match.
- Charlton have failed to score in 5 of 13 league games and Bolton in 4 of 13, which limits how far the goals case can be pushed.
Form
Recent form and results
Away
Bolton
1W 1D 3L · Goals 7–11
5 matches, 10 Oct to 31 Oct
29
Very poor
LWDLLLatest →
- vsBristol CityChampionshipL2–3
- vsMiddlesbroughChampionshipL1–5
atSouthamptonChampionshipD0–0
atWolvesChampionshipW3–1
vsStoke CityChampionshipL1–2
Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.
Teams
Lineups & team news
No complete starting XIs were captured for this match.
Charlton
- R. ApterKnee Injury
- C. SichenjeKnee Injury
- M. GoddenMuscle Injury
Bolton
- E. ErhahonThigh Injury
- R. HardieHamstring Injury
- J. McAteeKnee Injury
- J. NelsonInactive
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Venue records: Charlton: Championship (2026); Bolton: Championship (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.
A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.
Charlton at homeBolton away
6
Played
6
2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-2
0.8
Scored /game
1.5
0.8
Conceded /game
1.8
50%
Clean sheets
33%
33%
Failed to score
50%
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
80% (5 games)
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
80% (5 games)
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Charlton at home plus Bolton away).
Players
Key players this season
Bolton
- S. Dalby6G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 14 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 14 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 14 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 14 | -18 | 5 |
History
Head-to-head
- 3
- Charlton
- 2
- Draws
- 5
- Bolton
Bolton have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.3 goals a game, both teams scored in 80% of them.
- 2025-01-21Bolton1-2Charlton
- 2024-08-24Charlton2-0Bolton
- 2024-02-17Bolton3-3Charlton
- 2023-10-28Charlton0-2Bolton
- 2023-01-28Charlton1-2Bolton
Prices
Archived pre-match odds
Provider quote time: 3 Nov 2026, 17:26 WAT. Decimal prices. Historical quotes, not current offers. Coverage varies by selection; these are cached quotes, not a complete market survey.
Match Winner
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 · DafabetNamed quotes (5)
| 2.20 / 10 |
| Away | 3.30 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 3.10 / 10 |
| Draw | 3.60 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 3.45 / 10 |
Double Chance
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Away | 1.33 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 1.29 / 8 |
| Home/Draw | 1.38 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.34 / 8 |
| Draw/Away | 1.70 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.67 / 8 |
Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 | 1.02 · BetanoNamed quotes (1)
| 1.02 / 1 |
| Under 5.0 | 1.03 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 1.03 / 1 |
| Over 1.0 | 1.04 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 1.04 / 1 |
| Under 4.75 | 1.04 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.04 / 2 |
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.04 / 5 |
| Under 5.5 | 1.06 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 1.04 / 4 |
| Over 1.25 | 1.09 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.09 / 2 |
| Under 4.25 | 1.11 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 1.11 / 2 |
| Under 4.5 | 1.16 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.13 / 7 |
| Under 4.0 | 1.18 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.13 / 3 |
| Over 1.5 | 1.26 · BetVictorNamed quotes (5)
| 1.25 / 7 |
| Under 3.75 | 1.28 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.25 / 3 |
| Over 1.75 | 1.30 · BetVictorNamed quotes (3)
| 1.25 / 3 |
| Over 2.0 | 1.39 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 1.34 / 4 |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.40 / 7 |
| Under 3.25 | 1.49 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.46 / 4 |
| Over 2.25 | 1.60 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 1.54 / 4 |
| Under 3.0 | 1.62 · BetanoNamed quotes (5)
| 1.57 / 6 |
| Over 2.5 | 1.82 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.77 / 8 |
| Under 2.75 | 1.85 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.80 / 5 |
| Over 2.75 | 2.05 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 1.94 / 5 |
| Under 2.5 | 2.07 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.02 / 8 |
| Over 3.0 | 2.41 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.29 / 6 |
| Under 2.25 | 2.44 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.30 / 4 |
| Over 3.25 | 2.74 · PinnacleNamed quotes (4)
| 2.52 / 4 |
| Over 3.5 | 3.04 · PinnacleNamed quotes (5)
| 2.88 / 7 |
| Under 2.0 | 3.10 · BetanoNamed quotes (4)
| 2.97 / 4 |
| Under 1.75 | 3.36 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.34 / 3 |
| Over 3.75 | 3.38 · 1xBetNamed quotes (3)
| 3.34 / 3 |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 3.85 / 7 |
| Over 4.0 | 4.55 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (3)
| 4.55 / 3 |
| Over 4.25 | 4.92 · 1xBetNamed quotes (2)
| 4.91 / 2 |
| Under 1.25 | 5.30 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 5.30 / 2 |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 5.50 / 7 |
| Over 4.75 | 6.75 · MarathonbetNamed quotes (2)
| 6.75 / 2 |
| Under 1.0 | 7.70 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 7.70 / 1 |
| Over 5.0 | 8.00 · 1xBetNamed quotes (1)
| 8.00 / 1 |
| Over 5.5 | 11.00 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 10.50 / 5 |
| Under 0.5 | 12.00 · Bet365Named quotes (5)
| 10.50 / 5 |
| Over 6.5 | 21.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 21.00 / 3 |
| Over 8.5 | 25.00 · BetanoNamed quotes (1)
| 25.00 / 1 |
| Over 7.5 | 41.00 · Bet365Named quotes (3)
| 41.00 / 3 |
Both Teams Score
| Selection | Best quote | Median / books |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.62 · William HillNamed quotes (5)
| 1.60 / 7 |
| No | 2.30 · BetfairNamed quotes (5)
| 2.19 / 7 |
Bookmaker prices are separate from BetGenius confidence ratings. No opening price or odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot.
BetGenius
Our record in Championship
64%168 won from 261 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
2 published markets
FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Charlton or Draw
60%
Confidence
The two sides are closely matched on points, goal difference and recent results, so the stronger case is that Charlton do not lose rather than that they win. Charlton have a better home record this season (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 defeat) than Bolton have away from home (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats), and Bolton's home form has been poor with 5 defeats in 7. Charlton have drawn three of their last five, and the two draws in that run were 2-2 at Burnley and 1-1 with Bristol City. Charlton's injury list is three players, and Bolton's is four, which is an additional modest point in Charlton's favour. A home-or-draw line covers the outcomes where the match is close, which is the most likely shape here. The confidence reflects that a Bolton win remains a real possibility, given their 2-1 scoring rate recently and their better away form.
FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Confidence
The head-to-head record is the strongest evidence here: the last ten meetings averaged 3.3 goals and 70% went over 2.5. The season figures also lean towards goals. Bolton have scored 18 and conceded 26 in 13 league games, and Charlton have 11 scored and 21 conceded. Between them that is around 2.5 to 3.4 goals per match for each side's games, and the league average this season is 2.93 goals per game. Bolton's recent results include a 5-1 defeat and a 3-1 win, and Charlton's include a 2-2 draw. Both sides have also been in matches where the total reached 4 or more. The lean is moderate rather than strong: Charlton's struggles to score (5 games without a goal this season) and the fact that neither side's recent away record is especially productive mean an under is a credible outcome.
Explore
More from BetGenius
Understand these picks
- Double chance: Double chance predictions · How double chance works · Double chance record
- Over 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 predictions · How goals markets settle · Over 2.5 record
Teams around them in the table
About this data
Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 2 Nov 2026, 05:25 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.
Team context last fetched: Charlton: 3 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT; Bolton: 3 Nov 2026, 15:05 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 5 Nov 2026, 00:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.
Completed match: published prediction record
This match has finished. The published call is retained for review; see today’s predictions.
Published November 2, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.