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- Round
- Regular Season - 8
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Referee
- Chris Kavanagh
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Form
Recent form
Chelsea
71Strong
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference
Tottenham
48Average
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -1 goal difference
Our call
Our verdict
Double Chance
Chelsea or Draw
BetGenius backs Chelsea or Draw (Double Chance) at 77% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
77%
Confidence
Strong
Preview
Match preview
Chelsea enter this London derby placed fourth in the Premier League table with 13 points from their opening seven fixtures. The Blues have shown formidable attacking output at Stamford Bridge, scoring 11 goals across three home matches, including a 5-1 win over Bournemouth and a 6-3 victory against Leeds. In João Pedro, who has five goals and three assists, and Morgan Rogers with four goals, they possess in-form options leading the line.
Tottenham sit 16th with six points and have found life difficult on the road this season. They have yet to win an away league fixture, registering two draws, one defeat, and just one goal scored in three outings. A 3-1 home win over Coventry in their last match offered relief, but a mounting absentee list including Rodrigo Bentancur through suspension puts strain on squad depth across all areas.
Recent head-to-head records in league action also favor the hosts, with Chelsea having won each of the previous five Premier League encounters between the two clubs. Given Tottenham's travel difficulties and Chelsea's reliable scoring rhythm at home, the hosts hold an evident advantage heading into kickoff.
Analysis
Key factors
- Chelsea are unbeaten at home in the Premier League this season with two wins and one draw, scoring 11 goals in three matches.
- Tottenham have not won an away league fixture this season, recording two draws, one loss, and just one goal scored.
- Tottenham face serious squad depletion with Rodrigo Bentancur suspended and several defensive regulars including Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie sidelined.
- Chelsea have won each of the last five Premier League head-to-head fixtures against Tottenham.
- João Pedro and Morgan Rogers have combined for nine league goals for Chelsea through seven rounds.
Availability
Team news
Chelsea
- J. GittensAnkle Injury
- R. JamesKnee Injury
- E. MartinezBroken jawbone
- P. ChavarriaInjury
- E. EmeghaMuscle Injury
- M. GustoIllness
Tottenham
- L. BergvallKnee Injury
- M. MudrykAnkle Injury
- W. OdobertKnee Injury
- X. SimonsKnee Injury
- D. UdogieKnee Injury
- R. BentancurRed Card
Numbers
Statistical comparison
Chelsea at homeTottenham away
3
Played
3
2-1-0
W-D-L
0-2-1
3.7
Scored /game
0.3
2
Conceded /game
1.3
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
Combined scoring rate: 4 goals per game (Chelsea at home plus Tottenham away).
Players
Key players this season
Chelsea
- João Pedro5G · 3A
- M. Rogers4G
- Pedro Neto3G
- C. Palmer3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester CityPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | ArsenalPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | BrightonPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | ChelseaPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | LiverpoolPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | CoventryRelegation - Championship | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | FulhamRelegation - Championship | 7 | -3 | 5 |
History
Head-to-head
- 7
- Chelsea
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Tottenham
Chelsea have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game.
- 2026-08-01Chelsea1-2Tottenham
- 2026-05-19Chelsea2-1Tottenham
- 2025-11-01Tottenham0-1Chelsea
- 2025-04-03Chelsea1-0Tottenham
- 2024-12-08Tottenham3-4Chelsea
BetGenius
Our record in Premier League
67%74 won from 110 settled predictions
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Predictions
2 published markets
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Featured
Double Chance
Chelsea or Draw
77%
Confidence
Chelsea have won two and drawn one of their three home league games, averaging 3.7 goals scored per match in front of their home supporters. Tottenham have struggled to find the net away from home, scoring just once in three trips, and are depleted by the suspension of Rodrigo Bentancur alongside defensive injuries to Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie. While Tottenham secured a 1-1 draw at Manchester United, Chelsea have won the last five Premier League meetings between the sides, making the home double chance a well-supported selection.
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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.