BetGenius

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense prediction

Checking status…
Serie ASerie A
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 07:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 26
Venue
Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte
Referee
Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil

Recent form

Cruzeiro
29Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Atletico Paranaense
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · -1 goal difference

Our verdict

Solid
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
Confidence68%

BetGenius backs Atletico Paranaense or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Cruzeiro welcome third-placed Atletico Paranaense to the Mineirao in Serie A round 26, looking to arrest a difficult run of results. Cruzeiro enter this clash in sixth position on 39 points, having won only one of their last five matches across all competitions. However, their home form remains relatively reliable, with six victories and four draws from 13 league outings on home soil.

Atletico Paranaense sit on 45 points inside the Copa Libertadores qualification positions and are unbeaten in their last four fixtures. Their attack has been sharp, spearheaded by top goalscorer K. Viveros, who has found the net 17 times this season. Their away record shows five wins from 12 trips, though defensive absences could test their resilience on the road.

The head-to-head record slightly favors the visitors, who claimed a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture earlier in the season and have won four of the last ten meetings between the clubs. With both teams consistently finding the net in recent weeks, a competitive encounter with chances at both ends is anticipated.

Key factors

  • Atletico Paranaense are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures, scoring nine goals during this run.
  • K. Viveros has been in prolific form for the visitors, tallying 17 league goals this season.
  • Cruzeiro have conceded in each of their last five matches, managing just one victory in that period.
  • The reverse league fixture earlier in 2026 ended in a 2-1 victory for Atletico Paranaense.

Team news

Cruzeiro

  • Gabriel PecBroken Leg
  • L. SinisterraMuscle Injury
  • Jonathan JesusInjury
  • Bruno RodriguesInactive

Atletico Paranaense

  • ClaudinhoMuscle Injury
  • L. EsquivelAnkle Injury
  • Leo DerikThigh Injury
  • GilbertoAnkle Injury
  • G. BenavidezYellow Cards

Statistical comparison

Cruzeiro at home vs Atletico Paranaense away
13
Played
12
6-4-3
W-D-L
5-2-5
1.6
Scored /game
1.2
1.2
Conceded /game
1.3
23%
Clean sheets
25%
15%
Failed to score
33%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Cruzeiro at home plus Atletico Paranaense away).

Key players this season

Cruzeiro

  • Matheus Pereira4A

Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros17G
  • G. Benavídez5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
5BahiaPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)26+843
6CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26+142
7CoritibaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-137
8Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+236
9RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)25+335

Head-to-head

Full record →
Cruzeiro
2
Draws
3
Atletico Paranaense
4

Atletico Paranaense have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game.

  • 2026-03-18Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-10-26Atletico Paranaense 3-0 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-06-26Cruzeiro 2-0 Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-11-30Cruzeiro 1-1 Atletico Paranaense
  • 2023-07-29Atletico Paranaense 3-3 Cruzeiro

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
Confidence68%

Atletico Paranaense enter the match in superior league form, having gone unbeaten across their last four matches while scoring nine goals in that span. In contrast, Cruzeiro have managed only one win in their last five outings and have conceded in each of those fixtures. Although Cruzeiro are historically competitive at home, Atletico Paranaense's offensive firepower led by 17-goal forward K. Viveros and their 2-1 victory over Cruzeiro earlier this campaign indicate the visitors have a solid chance to secure at least a point.

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FlamengoPalmeirasFluminenseBahiaCoritibaAtletico-MG
All Serie A predictions →

Published September 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.