BetGenius
Round
League A - 2
Venue
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee
Willy Delajod, France
Form

Recent form

Denmark
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Wales
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Denmark or Draw

BetGenius backs Denmark or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Denmark enter this UEFA Nations League fixture in solid shape on home soil, having claimed victories in their last two home outings with a 2-1 result over Ukraine and a 4-0 win against FYR Macedonia. Across their past five matches in all competitions, the Danes have suffered just one defeat while recording two wins and two draws.

Wales arrive searching for greater cutting edge, having failed to win any of their last four matches. That run includes three consecutive 1-1 draws against Bosnia and Herzegovina, Northern Ireland, and Ghana, followed by a 2-1 away defeat to Romania. While they consistently find the net, turning stalemates into victories has proved difficult on their travels.

Historical meetings heavily favour the hosts, with Denmark winning all three previous head-to-head encounters across major tournaments and the Nations League, including a 4-0 victory in their most recent clash.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Denmark have won their last two home matches, scoring six goals and allowing only one.
  2. Wales are winless in their last four matches, recording three 1-1 draws and a 2-1 away defeat.
  3. Denmark have won all three previous recorded head-to-head meetings between the two nations.
  4. Wales have scored exactly one goal in each of their last four fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Denmark at homeWales away
1
Played
2
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-2
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

5
Denmark
0
Draws
0
Wales

Denmark have won 5 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-04Wales0-1Denmark
  • 2026-09-27Denmark2-0Wales
  • 2021-06-26Wales0-4Denmark
  • 2018-11-16Wales1-2Denmark
  • 2018-09-09Denmark2-0Wales
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Denmark or Draw
75%
Confidence

Denmark have shown strong home form with two consecutive victories on their own ground, scoring six goals and conceding just one across those matches. Wales have drawn three of their last four games 1-1 and suffered a 2-1 defeat in their most recent fixture against Romania. Backing Denmark to avoid defeat aligns well with their historical dominance in this fixture, having won all three past head-to-head meetings.

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Our previous calls on this fixture

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All UEFA Nations League predictions →

Published September 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.