BetGenius
Round
League A - 4
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
Irfan Peljto, Bosnia & Herzegovina
Form

Recent form

Wales
36Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Denmark
61Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Denmark or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Denmark or Draw (Combo Bet) at 68% confidence — a solid call.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Wales host Denmark in UEFA Nations League action looking to reverse a difficult run of form. The Welsh side have lost both of their opening matches in the campaign without scoring a single goal, falling 1-0 away to Portugal and 2-0 away to Denmark in the reverse fixture on September 27.

Denmark arrive having collected one victory and one defeat from their two group fixtures, scoring four goals across those two outings. Their 2-0 win over Wales highlighted their attacking sharpness, with Mikkel Damsgaard contributing two goals in the competition so far.

With Wales winless in their last five outings across all competitions and Denmark having won each of the past three historical head-to-head encounters, the visitors carry substantial momentum into this encounter.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Wales at homeDenmark away
1
Played
1
1-0-0
W-D-L
0-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

0
Wales
0
Draws
5
Denmark

Denmark have won 5 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-04Wales0-1Denmark
  • 2026-09-27Denmark2-0Wales
  • 2021-06-26Wales0-4Denmark
  • 2018-11-16Wales1-2Denmark
  • 2018-09-09Denmark2-0Wales
BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Nations League

69%123 won from 177 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Denmark or Draw
68%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Wales have struggled for offensive output, failing to score in 180 minutes of Nations League football across their 1-0 defeat to Portugal and 2-0 loss to Denmark. While Denmark have shown good scoring efficiency, Wales returning home will likely focus on defensive solidity, pointing toward another controlled, low-scoring affair below 2.5 goals.

Denmark or Draw — 78% confidence

Denmark enter this contest with a clear upper hand after securing a 2-0 victory against Wales just a week prior. Wales have lost three consecutive matches in all competitions and have failed to score in both Nations League fixtures so far. Backing Denmark to either win or take a point covers the most probable outcomes based on recent form and head-to-head records.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Denmark or Draw
78%
Confidence

Denmark enter this contest with a clear upper hand after securing a 2-0 victory against Wales just a week prior. Wales have lost three consecutive matches in all competitions and have failed to score in both Nations League fixtures so far. Backing Denmark to either win or take a point covers the most probable outcomes based on recent form and head-to-head records.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Confidence

Wales have struggled for offensive output, failing to score in 180 minutes of Nations League football across their 1-0 defeat to Portugal and 2-0 loss to Denmark. While Denmark have shown good scoring efficiency, Wales returning home will likely focus on defensive solidity, pointing toward another controlled, low-scoring affair below 2.5 goals.

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Published October 4, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.