Only 20 % of the last ten head‑to‑head games featured both teams scoring, and both clubs have strong defensive records (Derry 1.2 GA at home, St Patrick's 0.7 GA at home). Their recent matches show few goals – Derry have kept clean sheets in three of their last five, and St Patrick's have kept six clean sheets in their last ten. Combined with low average goals per game (1.5 in the rivalry) the evidence points to a high probability that both sides will not score.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 33
- Venue
- Brandywell Stadium, Delhi
- Referee
- Aaron O'Dowd
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +6 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs No (Both Teams to Score) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Derry City host St Patrick's Athletic in a Premier Division clash that could have European qualification implications for the visitors. Derry sit sixth with 41 points, averaging 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.3. Their home form is solid – seven wins, six draws and three defeats – but they have struggled to score away, managing just 1.1 goals per game on the road.\n\nSt Patrick's sit third with 59 points, boasting the league's best defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) and a healthy 1.6 goals‑per‑game scoring rate. Their away record is respectable with seven wins in 16 matches, and they have kept six clean sheets on the road.\n\nRecent head‑to‑head meetings have been tight, with ten meetings producing an average of 1.5 goals and only 20 % of games seeing both sides score. The most recent encounter ended 1‑1 at the Athletic’s ground. Both teams have been in good recent form – Derry with three wins in their last five and St Patrick's with three wins as well.\n\nGiven the defensive solidity of both sides and the historically low‑scoring nature of their meetings, the match is likely to stay under 2.5 goals and both teams may not find the net together.
Key factors
- St Patrick's defensive record is the best in the league (0.8 GA per game)
- Derry's home goals‑for average is only 1.7, below the league average
- Head‑to‑head meetings average 1.5 goals and have a 20 % BTTS rate
- Both teams have kept clean sheets in recent matches (Derry 3, St Patrick's 6)
- Recent form for both sides shows more wins than losses, but scoring has been limited
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Derry City at home plus St Patrick's Athl. away).
Key players this season
Derry City
- M. Duffy10G · 5A
St Patrick's Athl.
- R. Edmondson10G
- A. Keena10G
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock RoversPlay-offs | 35 | +23 | 68 |
| 2 | BohemiansQualifying | 35 | +18 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athl.Qualifying | 35 | +25 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | +3 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 35 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundalk | 35 | -6 | 42 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head-to-head
- 4
- Derry City
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.5 goals a game, only 20% went over 2.5.
- 2026-10-19Derry City1-0St Patrick's Athl.
- 2026-08-02St Patrick's Athl.1-1Derry City
- 2026-05-22Derry City0-0St Patrick's Athl.
- 2026-03-16St Patrick's Athl.0-0Derry City
- 2025-08-29Derry City2-2St Patrick's Athl.
1 published market
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Published October 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.

