BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Form

Recent form

Falkirk
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Kilmarnock
57Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Falkirk or Draw

BetGenius backs Falkirk or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Falkirk welcome Kilmarnock to the Falkirk Stadium in round 10 of the Scottish Premiership, with just one point separating the sides in the lower half of the standings. Falkirk sit in ninth position with nine points from nine games, having secured an encouraging 2-1 away victory against Hibernian in their previous league outing.

Kilmarnock occupy eleventh spot with eight points from nine matches, but they also arrive following a victory after edging Motherwell 3-2 in an entertaining encounter. However, defensive frailties have plagued the visitors throughout the campaign, with 20 goals conceded across their nine league fixtures to date.

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favour the home side in Premiership competition. Falkirk have won each of the previous three top-flight clashes between the two, including a 5-1 victory at home in February 2026, which gives the hosts an edge despite their modest home record of one win and three defeats.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Falkirk have won the last three Premiership head-to-head encounters against Kilmarnock, scoring nine goals and conceding only two in that span.
  2. Kilmarnock possess the leakiest defence in the division with 20 goals conceded in nine matches, averaging 2.2 goals against per game.
  3. Falkirk have scored in each of their last five Premiership matches, including victories over Hibernian and Heart of Midlothian.
  4. Head-to-head fixtures between these teams have averaged 3.83 goals per game over their last six meetings, with over 2.5 goals landing in 83.3% of those matches.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Falkirk at homeKilmarnock away
4
Played
4
1-0-3
W-D-L
1-1-2
1
Scored /game
1.3
1.8
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
100%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Falkirk at home plus Kilmarnock away).

Players

Key players this season

Falkirk

  • J. Murrell4G
  • R. Strain3A

Kilmarnock

  • G. Kiltie3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
6Dundee UtdPromotion - Premiership (Championship Group)9-112
7AberdeenPremiership (Relegation Group)9011
8ST MirrenPremiership (Relegation Group)9-810
9FalkirkPremiership (Relegation Group)9-39
10MotherwellPremiership (Relegation Group)9-58
11KilmarnockPremiership (Relegation Group)9-108
12HibernianPremiership (Relegation Group)9-57
History

Head-to-head

4
Falkirk
0
Draws
2
Kilmarnock

Falkirk have won 4 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 3.8 goals a game, both teams scored in 67% of them.

  • 2026-02-28Falkirk5-1Kilmarnock
  • 2025-12-20Kilmarnock0-1Falkirk
  • 2025-11-01Falkirk3-1Kilmarnock
  • 2022-06-24Falkirk1-4Kilmarnock
  • 2021-09-04Kilmarnock3-1Falkirk
BetGenius

Our record in Premiership

58%39 won from 67 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Falkirk or Draw
68%
Confidence

Falkirk have displayed consistent superiority in recent league meetings against Kilmarnock, winning the last three Premiership encounters between the clubs by scorelines of 5-1, 1-0, and 3-1. Falkirk have also gathered positive momentum by earning points in three of their last four league matches, most recently defeating Hibernian 2-1 away from home.

Kilmarnock have struggled for defensive solidity, having conceded 20 goals across their nine league matches this season, which translates to an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game. While Kilmarnock did manage a 3-2 victory over Motherwell in their last match, their overall record of five losses from nine outings highlights persistent vulnerability. Backing Falkirk to either win or draw covers two of the three possible outcomes while reflecting Kilmarnock's defensive troubles.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.