BetGenius
Round
League Stage - 3
Venue
Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Referee
A. Kyriakos
Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw

BetGenius backs Heart Of Midlothian or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Both sides are near the bottom of the 36-team table after two matches. Thun are 32nd with 0 points and a goal difference of -2. Hearts are 28th with 1 point and the same goal difference.

Thun have not scored in either European game, losing 1-0 at home to HNK Hajduk Split and 1-0 away at Twente. Domestically they are ninth of twelve in the Super League, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded from 12 matches, which is an open record. Hearts are third of twelve in the Scottish Premiership on 20 points from 11 matches, with 24 scored and 17 conceded. Their only European result in the form data is a 2-0 defeat away to Trabzonspor.

Team news is not confirmed in this data and no head-to-head record is available, so this read rests on form, goal records and table position. Hearts look the stronger side on domestic evidence, and a draw is a realistic result. Thun's lack of European scoring is the main reason to expect a low-scoring outcome from their side, while their leaky domestic defence points to a match with goals in it.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Hearts are third of twelve in the Scottish Premiership against Thun's ninth of twelve in the Swiss Super League.
  2. Thun have scored no goals in two Conference League league-phase matches and conceded twice.
  3. Thun have conceded 34 in 12 Super League games, while Hearts have conceded 17 in 11 Premiership games.
  4. League-phase table: Thun 32nd with 0 points, Hearts 28th with 1 point, both on two matches played.
  5. Team news is not confirmed in this data and no head-to-head record is available, so the read relies on form and goal records.
  6. The competition averages 2.97 goals per game, and Thun's domestic matches have produced 4.8 goals per game on average, which supports an over 2.5 total.
Form

Recent form and results

Home

FC Thun

1W 1D 3L · Goals 9–11

5 matches, 15 Oct to 1 Nov

39
Poor
LDLLWLatest →
  • atLausanne
    Super League
    W5–4
  • vsFC Lugano
    Super League
    L2–3
  • vsHNK Hajduk Split
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    L0–1
  • atFC Schaffhausen
    Schweizer Cup
    D2–2
  • atTwente
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    L0–1
Away

Heart Of Midlothian

1W 1D 2L · Goals 5–6

4 matches, 22 Oct to 1 Nov

39
Poor
LWDLLatest →
  • vsHibernian
    League Cup
    L1–2
  • vsRangers
    Premiership
    D2–2
  • atMotherwell
    Premiership
    W2–0
  • atTrabzonspor
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    L0–2

Last five completed matches across all competitions. Scores are from the named team’s perspective; “vs” is a home match, “at” an away one. The form rating (0–100) weights recent results more heavily and does not account for opponent strength.

Teams

Starting lineups

Complete starting XIs have not been received for this match. Check again nearer kickoff.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Venue records: FC Thun: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026); Heart Of Midlothian: UEFA Europa Conference League (2026). Recent goal rates use all competitions, separately from the venue records.

A dash means unavailable or too few matches: averages need 3 matches; percentages need 5. Missing is never zero.

FC Thun at homeHeart Of Midlothian away
1
Played
2
0-0-1
W-D-L
1-0-1
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60% (5 games)
BTTS (recent)
—
60% (5 games)
Over 2.5 (recent)
—
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
25FC Midtjylland2-11
26Aarhus2-11
27Pafos2-21
28Heart Of Midlothian2-21
29FC Iberia 19992-21
30Getafe2-31
31Kairat Almaty2-41
32FC Thun2-20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC2-40
34KuPS2-40
35Inter Club d'Escaldes2-40
Prices

Bookmaker odds comparison

Cached odds are more than two hours old and are withheld until refreshed.

BetGenius

Our record in UEFA Europa Conference League

77%44 won from 57 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw
68%
Confidence

Hearts have the stronger season-long profile: third of twelve in Scotland against Thun's ninth of twelve in Switzerland. Hearts have a positive goal difference across 11 domestic games (24 scored, 17 conceded), while Thun have conceded 34 in 12. Thun have no goals from two Conference League matches, and Hearts' Premiership form line reads DWLWD. A Hearts win outright is more of a lean than a clear edge, given their single point from two league-phase games and the 2-0 defeat at Trabzonspor. The draw cover is what makes Hearts or a draw the better-supported call here.

Combo Bet
Team Total Goals
FC Thun Under 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Thun's scoring is the clearest team-specific signal. They have failed to score in both European matches, losing 1-0 to Hajduk Split at home and 1-0 to Twente away. Domestically they have scored 24 in 12 Super League games, around two per match, so a total of two goals or fewer is a common outcome for them. Hearts' defence has conceded 17 in 11 Premiership games, which gives Thun fewer clear chances to build a high goal count against them.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw + FC Thun Under 2.5 Goals
66%
Both must land · no better than

Heart Of Midlothian or Draw — 68% confidence

Hearts have the stronger season-long profile: third of twelve in Scotland against Thun's ninth of twelve in Switzerland. Hearts have a positive goal difference across 11 domestic games (24 scored, 17 conceded), while Thun have conceded 34 in 12. Thun have no goals from two Conference League matches, and Hearts' Premiership form line reads DWLWD. A Hearts win outright is more of a lean than a clear edge, given their single point from two league-phase games and the 2-0 defeat at Trabzonspor. The draw cover is what makes Hearts or a draw the better-supported call here.

FC Thun Under 2.5 Goals — 66% confidence

Thun's scoring is the clearest team-specific signal. They have failed to score in both European matches, losing 1-0 to Hajduk Split at home and 1-0 to Twente away. Domestically they have scored 24 in 12 Super League games, around two per match, so a total of two goals or fewer is a common outcome for them. Hearts' defence has conceded 17 in 11 Premiership games, which gives Thun fewer clear chances to build a high goal count against them.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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About this data

Highlighted prediction evidence recorded 4 Nov 2026, 01:40 WAT. Recent form, statistics and H2H above use that original evidence. Team news, player totals, standings and performance records may refresh separately. Published analysis is not automatically rewritten when those figures change.

Team context last fetched: FC Thun: 4 Nov 2026, 01:40 WAT; Heart Of Midlothian: 4 Nov 2026, 01:40 WAT. Table cache last fetched: 4 Nov 2026, 15:20 WAT. A fetch time does not confirm that every underlying item changed.

Published November 4, 2026. The original prediction is retained; supporting context is labelled separately above.