BetGenius

Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction

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Kickoff
Sun, Aug 30, 07:00 PM
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil

Recent form

Flamengo
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Botafogo
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-0D-4L · -9 goal difference

Our verdict

Strong
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Flamengo or Draw
Confidence84%

BetGenius backs Flamengo or Draw (Double Chance) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

Match preview

Second-placed Flamengo host 11th-placed Botafogo at the Maracanã in a high-stakes Serie A clash. The hosts are chasing leaders Palmeiras, sitting six points behind with a game in hand after collecting 45 points from 23 matches (13 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). Despite several notable absences—including the suspended Bruno Henrique and injured playmaker N. de la Cruz—Flamengo remain formidable on home soil, where they have suffered just one defeat in 10 league outings.

Botafogo enter the match in a more turbulent stretch, having lost four of their last five fixtures across all competitions, including a 3-2 league defeat against Atletico Paranaense. With 30 points and an even goal difference (37 goals scored and 37 conceded), the visitors have shown defensive vulnerabilities on the road, conceding 20 goals in 12 away games while suffering six defeats.

Head-to-head history heavily leans toward Flamengo, who have secured victory in seven of the last ten meetings between the two sides, including a 3-0 away win earlier in the 2026 campaign. Given Flamengo's defensive stability at home (conceding just 0.8 goals per game) and Botafogo's recent inconsistencies on their travels, the hosts are positioned as clear favourites to take points.

Key factors

  • Flamengo have lost only once at home in league play this season (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), allowing just 0.8 goals per match.
  • Botafogo have struggled away from home, losing six of their 12 road fixtures with 20 goals conceded.
  • Head-to-head records strongly favour Flamengo, who have won seven of the last ten encounters across all competitions.
  • Flamengo's top scorer Pedro (15 goals, 4 assists) provides consistent offensive output despite injuries to supporting midfield personnel.
  • Botafogo arrive on a difficult run, having dropped four of their last five matches in all competitions.

Team news

Flamengo

  • Alex SandroCalf Injury
  • VitaoMuscle Injury
  • N. de la CruzMuscle Injury
  • J. FreitasInactive
  • A. ValenciaInactive

Team news last updated Sep 2 (7 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Botafogo

  • J. BarreraInjury
  • Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
  • PaulinhoInjury

Statistical comparison

Flamengo at home vs Botafogo away
11
Played
13
7-3-1
W-D-L
4-2-7
2
Scored /game
1.3
0.7
Conceded /game
1.8
55%
Clean sheets
8%
9%
Failed to score
23%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Flamengo at home plus Botafogo away).

Key players this season

Flamengo

  • Pedro15G · 5A
  • Samuel Lino9G · 7A
  • J. Carrascal6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+3054
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+2453
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+1045
4FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)26+845
11VitoriaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)26-1232
12Corinthians26032
13Santos25-132
14Botafogo25-331
15Gremio25-628
16Mirassol26-1128
17Vasco DA GamaRelegation - Serie B25-1325

Head-to-head

Full record →
Flamengo
7
Draws
1
Botafogo
2

Flamengo have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-08-30Flamengo 3-0 Botafogo
  • 2026-03-14Botafogo 0-3 Flamengo
  • 2026-02-15Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
  • 2025-10-15Botafogo 0-3 Flamengo
  • 2025-05-18Flamengo 0-0 Botafogo

Our record in Serie A

62%24 won from 39 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Market
Double Chance
Pick
Flamengo or Draw
Confidence84%

Flamengo have demonstrated remarkable consistency at home with a 6-3-1 record and only eight goals conceded in ten matches. While key absences such as Bruno Henrique, Alex Sandro, and N. de la Cruz could temper their attacking efficiency, Botafogo's poor recent form (four defeats in their last five games) and negative away record (six losses in 12 matches) strongly point toward Flamengo securing at least a point.

More from BetGenius

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.